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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: epicure who wrote (57327)11/12/1998 2:13:00 PM
From: Gersh Avery  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58727
 
I make that to be about a 70 point drop .. and you?

Gersh



To: epicure who wrote (57327)11/12/1998 2:28:00 PM
From: S. Chiang  Respond to of 58727
 
X,

Like the last time, the H&S may be broken before the right shoulder is formed. The right shoulder will not be completed until INDU falls below 8827 or so.

SC



To: epicure who wrote (57327)11/12/1998 2:59:00 PM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 58727
 
INDEX UPDATE
-------------------

Per my short-term technicals here are the readings for various indexes right now:

DOW - 49 (MIDRANGE)
SPX - 45 (MIDRANGE)
OEX - 50 MIDRANGE
NAZ - 75 NEAR OVERBOUGHT
RUT - 25 NEAR OVERSOLD
BKX - 9 OVERSOLD
XAL - 6 OVERSOLD

There are obvious divergences amongst the various indexes at this point, not giving any firm direction.

Originally I felt that this downswing would last thru this past TUE/WED and then an upswing to start which should retest the recent highs by the FOMC meeting on Tue.

Right now the VIX is at 27 and it appears that the next support(BUY SIGNAL area) is around 32-35. This would be in line with my short-term technicals of a midrange for the overall market.

Since we are basicly in the mid-range with divergences, the market could continue down/flat until next MON/TUE. If we do continue down prior to next TUE, the downside will be limited with strong support at in the 8700-8800 range.

My strategy is that if the DOW is in the 8700-8800 by the time of the FOMC meeting, I will just go long if the rates are cut, giving my broker to pull the trigger on that announcement. I would do that with the expectations that the market will at least retest the recent highs around 9000

Seeya




To: epicure who wrote (57327)11/12/1998 10:34:00 PM
From: James Strauss  Respond to of 58727
 
clearstation.com

The Nasdaq 100 appears to be making a double top formation... A
retracement of about 6.7% to the 1400 area is not out of the question...

Jim