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To: tsyl who wrote (79262)11/12/1998 5:58:00 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
I too think that rates will be cut Tuesday....Rivelin and Greenspan have put their focus on the much too big corporate credit spreads...and they also know that real interest rates (Fed funds-inflation) are too high....IMO, the Fed didn't have a problem with high real interest rates when the economy was growing north of 3%..

But the Fed is looking to the future....and without intervention, probably saw no growth next year....

They also know that Germans, Japan can not lower rates...

Question is: Will a .25% rate cut have a big effect on the market....I think it will boost a little, but not much...I think we need a .5 to really boost the market...But, given the growing doubt of any cut, maybe .25 will be enuff..Wadda think?

Me, I'll take 2 .25 cuts (one now and one in December)..that'll keep things fairly sanguine...



To: tsyl who wrote (79262)11/12/1998 6:43:00 PM
From: SouthFloridaGuy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Perhaps, but Greenspan is the one who has created this ridiculous frenzy in the markets. Somebody needs to tell him that he is not a trader. All sanity has been lost, the crash, when it comes, will be greater than 1929 and 1987 combined. Free markets must reign free, I guess.

nypostonline.com



To: tsyl who wrote (79262)11/13/1998 9:31:00 AM
From: Jim Patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
RE: Remember three Fed moves and a JUMP!!

You mean that after the third cut the market will really get going???

Economic numbers do not support further rate cuts at this time.

If the Fed cuts rates next week, I think that will be further sign of the Fed in a state of Panic. The market reaction may not be as dramatic this time.

Jim