To: Keith Howells who wrote (11814 ) 11/12/1998 9:30:00 PM From: THE PHANTOM Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13594
Keith: The split occurs as of Monday 11/17/98 (2 for 1). Internet stocks are the hotest thing in the market right now. 52 week highs for AOL up about 5 times. Yahoo up about 9 times. You have to be very careful though because these stocks, AOL included, can go down as fast as they go up, i.e. the last hit the market took AOL went from the 130's down to as low as 69. I believed in the company though and I just stayed put, believing AOL would come back as it did. I'm not interested in YAHOO personally due to its volitility. It really hasn't shown much in profits and it's not expected to really show much in profitability until the year 2,000. Then,,,,,,, who knows. That's what people are gambling on. To me it's a crap shoot. Obviously those that bought in low have been really rewarded. I personally just do not wish to put my money there. E-Bay has also been up this year, approximately 5x the low, although it was much higher earlier. There, you are banking on the sale of products over the internet. I personally do not think it will be very profitable in the near future, but then again, you are banking on the future. What it holds, that's for you to decide. If you think it's good, now's the time to get in I would guess, but the stock is still very expensive as is Yahoo. I don't have a crystal ball. I've seen over the years that the hot stocks one year become the dogs the next, usually sometime around the middle to end of January of the next year after people jump on them early after hearing how well they did, i.e. Biotechs, overseas investing, etc. Now as for AOL, they are the number one internet stock. They are positioned in almost every aspect of the internet. They are going very fast. Last quarter almost 1,000,000 new members. That's about $22,000,000 a month in profit, or $265,000,000 more per month just for the last quarter. That doesn't even take into account the number of members already a part of AOL prior. With the new movie coming out in, I believe December, this should also be a big shot in the membership for AOL The stars are those from Sleeping in Seattle. The bigger the hit, the more advertising for AOL. AOL was no fool when they hooked up with that movie. They are also tailoring the system and products for women. It is considered the easiest online system to use. It is also taking on more and more advertisers. I my opinion, if you are going to pick an internet stock AOL is the one to pick. It should continue doing extremely well. As I said earlier, and above, barring any major pull back in the market, I see it at at least $140 pre-split (has done it several times already), and at least $100 post split by January 1, 1999. I liken it to Microsoft (in the software business) which I have had for many years. i.e. Had you invested $10,000 in Microsoft in 1988 and let it ride, you would now have about $700,000. Not bad. Remember, hindsight is cheap. I simply do not think you can go wrong with AOL. It is the major player. Even when the market takes at hit, or we go into a bear market (I do not think it will be in the near future) the major stocks are the first ones to come out of it. AOL will be one of them. Good Luck to You. PHANTOM