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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (2324)11/13/1998 7:16:00 AM
From: Stephen B. Temple  Respond to of 12823
 
Start-Up Sneaks Up On XDSL Market




November 13, 1998



Inter@ctive: In a market dominated by vendor hype and telephone company inactivity, one Silicon Valley start- up is actually exceeding its own expectations in delivering Digital Subscriber Line equipment to network operators.

Copper Mountain Networks Inc. (www.coppermountain.com), a 2-year-old Palo Alto, Calif., company that began shipping products in December 1997, is now the major supplier of Digital Subscriber Line (xDSL) network equipment to four of the top competitive local exchange carriers (CLECs) in the country, as well as to a host of smaller players. Beginning with NorthPoint Communications Inc. and now including UUnet WorldCom, where Copper Mountain beat out Ascend Communications Inc., ICG Netcom and Rhythms NetConnections Inc., Copper Mountain, so far, has sold 582 of its Symmetric DSL (SDSL) systems this year and expects to hit 1,000 systems sold by year's end, including 750 to be installed in central offices.

Those Copper Mountain systems, known as DSL Access Multiplexers (DSLAMs), let data CLECs deliver two-way service at speeds of 384 kilobits per second, 768 Kbps and now 1.5 megabits per second to business customers.

"We thought from the beginning that businesses would be the first users of [x]DSL, and businesses want symmetric service," says Rick Gilbert, president and chief executive officer of Copper Mountain. "And we thought the data CLECs would be much quicker to move than [incumbent] phone companies. "

Such thinking paid off. While other equipment vendors were courting the big Bells with Asymmetric DSL gear that promised speeds of up to 8 Mbps in the downstream direction, Copper Mountain adopted what it called a "Pragmatic DSL" strategy to take lower-speed, two-way services that let small and midsized businesses do faster data access at much more reasonable cost.

"We think the sweet spot for business bandwidth is between ISDN [Integrated Services Digital Network] and T1 speeds, at 384 Kbps and 768 Kbps, " Gilbert says. By offering those speeds using SDSL technology that incorporates the line coding used by ISDN technology, Copper Mountain also helped its CLEC customers avoid delays in getting access to copper wires, since ISDN is considered a network-friendly line code that doesn't interfere with other services.

Finally, Copper Mountain released proprietary information about its system to companies that agreed to build the customer premises equipment (CPE). The start- up signed up nine such companies so that its carrier customers would have a choice of CPE vendors.

All of this strategizing helped Gilbert and crew leapfrog the industry's other vendors and gain substantial market power and experience. But will that be enough going forward?

Gilbert admits the market will move toward more integrated solutions. Copper Mountain, he adds, is seeking a partner that has routing and switching technology and can incorporate Copper Mountain's technology into those product lines, although he stops short of saying the company expects to be an acquisition target.

"This company will have to maintain best-of-breed product, but, even so, we need to become allied with a larger player in the industry," he says. "Any way you look at it, we're a transport company in a niche -- we need a switching and routing partner. We are looking for the right distribution partnership for 1999."

Analysts say alignment with a larger company, through acquisition or partnership, is virtually inevitable.

"Longer term, these DSLAM-type devices and access concentrators in general will be multifunction products that are capable of putting whatever flavor of cards into it. And they will handle it because of the nature of the beast -- the local loop," says Tim McElgunn, senior analyst at Dataquest Inc. (www.dataquest.com). "Carriers will have to offer variety and choice. You might see, depending on how interoperability stuff goes, that a company that doesn't want to reinvent what Copper Mountain has created would find it makes a good fit."

But most analysts say that, for the next one to two years, Copper Mountain can continue to build on its early success with data CLECs and to enhance its own value in the process.

"They can sustain this position with the data CLECs as long as they continue delivering new products -- and that's not an easy model to sustain, " says Greg Howard, director of service provider programs at Infonetics Research Inc. (www.infonetics.com). "But the data CLEC market is one where companies are always looking for new services with which to differentiate themselves."

"They have been propositioned, but they are not ready to be formally, acquired," says Ron Westfall, research analyst at Current Analysis Inc. (www.currentanalysis.com). "It's hard to say when they'll pull the trigger."

In the meantime, Copper Mountain officials have identified another hot market for their products: multidwelling units, including office buildings, apartment buildings and hotels. "I think this is going to be a huge market," Gilbert says.

<<Inter@ctive Week -- 11-09-98>>







To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (2324)11/13/1998 7:31:00 AM
From: Hiram Walker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12823
 
Hey everyone check your phone bills!I just uncovered over $250 in excess charges in the last 2 months! Must read,and I will buy the book,the man has a similar life pattern to me,and a Chomsky devotee!

The Trail of Broken Promises
Former consultant uses pen to battle the Baby Bells.

By David S. Isenberg

Bruce Kushnick doesn't get invited to fancy telecom meetings anymore. When he began exposing the Baby Bells' patterns of broken promises, his status dove from top telemedia consultant to industry pariah.

Kushnick has been over the edge so many times that he's smoothed a groove in it. He was a horrible student in high school, but left Brandeis magna cum laude. He often went homeless, crashing in MIT dorm rooms on nights when their occupants were trysting. Along the way, he took acoustics from Amar Bose, linguistics from Noam Chomsky, artificial intelligence from Marvin Minsky and music from Leonard Bernstein.

In the early 1980s Kushnick's interest in psychoacoustics and computer music led him to the forefront of the emerging interactive voice response (IVR) industry. He designed a system that would let record stores enter sales figures into a centralized database via telephone so record companies could track the effects of airplay on record sales. This was revolutionary stuff in the early '80s, when 300-baud modems cost more than $1,000.

In 1985 Link Resources hired Kushnick for his voice processing expertise. Phone companies and the business community smelled money in IVR, and he quickly became the media's star consultant du jour. His name appeared regularly in The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. His $5,000 IVR reports sold well and the conferences he organized drew hundreds. He left Link in 1988 to form his own company, Strategic Telemedia, which sold IVR work to all the big telcos.

And then it started

Riding his success, one day Kushnick took a long look at Strategic Telemedia's own telephone bill to figure out where his money was going. "I didn't understand any of the charges," he says. Curiosity piqued, he examined his 87-year-old Aunt Ethel's phone bills and found that over the last 14 years she had paid more than $1,500 in unnecessary phone rental and wire maintenance charges. He tried to get explanations from his clients at the big phone companies, but he couldn't.

Also, his work on ISDN and fiber optic networks was beginning to uncover evidence of deliberate rollout delays, despite public Baby Bell enthusiasm. "I felt that my old clients, the Bells, had deceived me," Kushnick says.

So Kushnick quit, and started New Networks Institute, thinking, "I was going to make a lot of money selling high-end research," he says. But "I discovered that I was biting the hand that had fed me."

Collaborating with Probe Research, a Cedar Knolls, N.J., consulting firm, Kushnick produced a report called Telephone Charges in America, documenting a 275% increase in phone charges in the preceding decade. A second collaboration, Consumer Attitudes Towards Telephone and Cable Companies, a consumer survey that established the fact that people didn't understand their long distance bill, may have led to Sprint's "dime-lady" campaign.

Today, Kushnick is writing a book, The Unauthorized Biography of the Baby Bells (for details, visit www.newnetworks.com). In it, he shows a state-by-state pattern of Baby Bell promises in exchange for regulatory relief, followed by broken promises, and increased profits, dividends and stock prices.

The story of Bell Atlantic of New Jersey (BA-NJ) exemplifies the pattern. In 1992, the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities granted BA-NJ freedom from rate regulation "on all services deemed to be competitive in nature" and a freeze on otherwise falling residential POTS rates. In exchange, BA-NJ seems to have promised to spend $1.5 billion "above business as usual" to create a state-of-the-art fiber optic network and broadband services. The program was named Opportunity New Jersey (ONJ).

According to the New Jersey Office of the Ratepayer Advocate, "BA-NJ has utterly failed to fulfill its obligations under the Plan." In a March 21, 1997, document, the agency contrasts the $2.6 billion that BA-NJ claims to have spent on network upgrades from 1993 through 1996 against the $2.4 billion it would have spent in "business as usual" under the old, stricter regulations. In the same period, BA-NJ paid out $477 million in excess dividends. Furthermore, the agency stated, "there appears to be no intention to provide any broadband services over [BA-NJ's] high-speed network."

Kushnick's book documents this pattern of abandoned promises and unfulfilled quid pro quos in every Baby Bell territory. To nobody's surprise, not one big-money telecom interest has stepped forward to support his work. He's deep in personal debt. When I ask about his credit cards, he just laughs. He's betting everything on his book. Once again, Bruce Kushnick's mission has taken him to the edge.

Note: Bell Atlantic representatives were, understandingly, unhappy with the way their performance under Opportunity New Jersey is depicted above. A future Intelligence at the Edge column will delve into their side of the story. - DSI
Buy the book, support the truth!
Hiram