To: michael modeme who wrote (79942 ) 11/13/1998 2:41:00 PM From: KM Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
Options Buzz: Dell Earnings Put Hurt on Call Buyers By Dan Colarusso Senior Writer 11/13/98 2:30 PM ET The traders who were expecting a slam-dunk earnings report from Dell (DELL:Nasdaq) got slapped down yesterday and saw the value of their call options deflate this morning. Call buyers sent volume on Dell's November 70 calls to almost 20,000 on Thursday, anticipating a big runup in the wake of its quarterly earnings report. While consensus estimates were 27 cents, many expected the box maker to report 30 or higher, and they paid up to 4 1/8 ($412.50) for calls that were thisclose to being in-the-money. Those same November 70 calls, however, traded more than 13,000 contracts this morning as, experts suppose, yesterday's call buyers salvaged the scrap remaining. "These are the guys who were buying expecting a big surprise," says CIBC Oppenheimer senior options strategist Michael Schwartz, who added that a fair amount of traders also bought straddle positions, to get the same exposure to a downside move if earnings disappointed. "They were foolish if they played it on one side; they would have needed an enormous move to make it pay off," Schwartz says. Instead, Dell reported 28 cents a share and the stock price shed 3 1/2 to hit 65 3/8 by midday. And those calls that were bought somewhere between 3 1/2 ($350) and 4 1/8 ($412.50) Thursday were going to 5/8 ($62.50) today. "It's not an easy trade," Schwartz says. At the option's low price of 3 1/2, buyers of the 70 calls would have needed Dell to run to higher than 73 after the earnings announcement. "I had heard that a lot of the Dell buying was newcomers who expected the stock to outperform after earnings, so those could be the sellers today," says R.F. Lafferty options boss Jay Shartsis. "It's dragging some of the other techs down as well." Dell's December 60 puts traded more than 2,400 contracts but rose just 1/8 ($12.50) to 2 5/8 ($262.50), showing interest but not a stampede to play Dell for any big slide. (I got 1 3/8 for mine and felt lucky getting that)