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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mohan Marette who wrote (80158)11/13/1998 10:59:00 PM
From: jim kelley  Respond to of 176387
 
Mohan,

A lot of people would like to drag DELL into the consumer PC fracas at the low end of the market. These people are DELL's competitors.

It would divide the resources of the company.



To: Mohan Marette who wrote (80158)11/13/1998 11:08:00 PM
From: Dell-icious  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
 
DELL conference call summary: finally got around to listening. Unfortunately they didn't include the Q&A in the replay.
Dell-icious

Tom Meredith, CFO
Highlights:
Record Q: superiority of direct model
19th consecutive Q of revenue growth
15th consecutive Q of 40+% year over year revenue growth
Worldwide #1 in profitiablity, #1 in revenue and unit growth, asset management.
Grew 3 times faster than nearest competitor
1/3 of total industry growth.
Revenues 4.818 billion, 51% over 3Q 98. over 5 times industry
Earnings 28 cents, up 65% over 3Q 98. more than any system company in industry
190% ROIC., best in PC industry, more than 3 times nearest competitor
586 million cash flow from operations
2.8 billion cash and marketable securities
18 million shares repurchased, total 360 million of 500 million share program
Believe it is good use of cash
#2 in worldwide unit market share, fastest growth in top 10
Product leadership, cost and service.
Internet revenue more than tripled to 10 million a day 3.7 billion annual rate
20% of business on internet, well on way to 50% goal

Quarterly performance:
Revenue growth: 51% overall, 11% seq.
Americas revenue 46% over Q3 98, 13% seq.
seasonal strength in government. consumer business grew 65%
med-large business grew 38%, in line with 40% growth YTD
#1 PC provider to US commercial sites with more than 500 employees, above CPQ
for first time, according to ZD Market Intelligence.
Higher Y2K spending
European revenue 68% over Q3 98, 9% seq
7 countries over 85%
4 times industry, #2 in market share in Europe
Asia revenue 49% vs Q3 98, compared to overall industry 2%
Xiamen China plant opened. Strong adoption of direct model in PRC
Enterprise systems: 104% over Q3 98, 14% of revenues. 8th consecutive quarter
of 100%+ growth
Gained 6 percentage points marketshare in US, #2
Worldwide closing in on #3.
Workstations #2 worldwide in NT space
Storage: Introduced Powervault, NTAP alliance
Notebook revenue 93% over Q3 98, growth more than 11 times market in Q3
Introduced Inspiron 7000, best portable ever, Inspiron 3500.
Desktop: 37% growth. #2 in US, Europe and worldwide
90% of desktops sold are 350Mhz PII or higher
ASP : 2400. higher end mix
Unit shipments up 66% over Q3 98, more than 5 times industry
22.5% margins, slight decline from 22.7% in Q2
11.4% operating expenses, slight decline
Net margins steady at 8%
Large room for improvement in ROIC. Can improve receivables management.
Inventory down to 7 days, vs 8 days in Q2, 11 in Q3 98
Cash conversion cycle improved to -9 days

Demand outlook:
overall industry very healthy, just as bullish as before Q3.
Strong Q typically for DELL, seq revenue growth low double digits
strength in US corporate and consumer, though down in government (seasonal)
good momentum
no projections, but incorporate historical patterns into thinking
1) transition business to internet
reduced cycle times from customer decision to product delivery
2) continuous flow manufacturing
retrofit plants around the world
3) mix towards notebooks, servers, enterprise storage. 36%. lot more to go
Negatives:
1) penetration in emerging markets
Brazil. goals: rapid share gains, not near term margins
2) manufacturing capacity increase
3) quick in passing cost reductions
gross margins may trend down long term along with operating expenses.
net margins will stay around 8% in Q4
trend down a bit next year to maintain top line momentum

Key initiatives:
Goal: Improve overall customer experience, while lowering cost for for customers
and DELL
1) Internet pure extension of direct model. Over 8500 premier pages
Shortening cycle time between customer decision and product delivery
online orders 40% fewer order status calls, also 12-15% fewer support calls.
Linking supply chains to customers.
2) Transition to continuous flow manufacturing. China facility operational,
Austin enterprise facility opens tomorrow. Broke ground in Ireland.
3) Service and reliability. Only vendor for PC Magazine award for desktops
and notebooks, according to 17000 readers choice survey
4) Continues to build brand, #1 corporate desktop. Building barriers to entry.



To: Mohan Marette who wrote (80158)11/13/1998 11:29:00 PM
From: Naggrachi  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
<<This question does not apply to Compaq's management.<vbg>>>

Did anyone catch NBR interview with Dell?
When asked about CPQ, he replied that CPQ has tried the direct model almost 7 years ago. And he saw many conflicts that would arise out of their present situation that he didn't see much success when the dust settles.

The above is a recollection and not the exact wording. The SquawkBox interview didn't go that well, IMO. Dell seemed distracted and caught off guard, at times he had to THINK before answering. Wondered if activity taking place around him distracted him or he was having difcullty hearing the questions, since the interview was set up via satelite. Did anyone else saw the interview in the same light?

Zead