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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (25991)11/14/1998 3:30:00 PM
From: OtherChap  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
My take on AMZN/YHOO is that vinik knew there were tons of retail sucekrs out there, and he was acting as a herd leader, using carefully timed investments to lift or lower the stock price.

However, after theglobe.com and earthweb and ATCO, there are plenty of places left with lower share prices that retail suckers can throw their cash to. And I read today that brokerages are dredging up their cancelled internet IPOs like mad, with most of them aiming for THIS COMING WEEK! (doesn't take long when the greed is flowing, eh?)

So Amazon the stock (tm) is going to quickly deflate. Notice how yesterday's volume was the lowest since June? You know why? It's because all those same retail investors who normally churn away at Amazon trying to catch those 10 point swings have decided to move onto the next "hot" thing. The volume from ebay and theglobe and earthweb literally subtracted directly out of Amazon.

It seems there is a relatively large pool of "retail internut cash" that is flowing from stock to stock, like a swarm of locusts jumping from field to field, leaving nothing in their wake.

This is exactly the sort of problem international markets have- capital tends to flow from one region to the next, and recently it has been flowing a lot faster than normal- that's what destroys markets like indonesia, etc..

And now that same behavior is going to kill internet stocks.



To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (25991)11/15/1998 8:48:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 

Sounds awfully brick-and-mortarish to me. "leasehold improvements". "lease
obligations". "purchase fixed assets". "install [more] lease improvements". "increase
merchandize inventory". I thought this was a "pure" internet company? Gee, I'm
disappointed.


Dwight,

It sure sounds as though the original business model did not work. Their rent should be less per square foot since they can lease a building in a non high rent retail district. That is an advantage. The disadvantage is no one will just walk in the door and buy. Also, there will be less traffic where this building is located so the advertising derived from a nice looking store as one drives by is lost.

The business model had the "concept" of receiving the money first and paying for the inventory later. It appears that stocking books are books not already sold and some may need to be paid for prior to being sold.

Glenn