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To: Night Writer who wrote (36591)11/15/1998 12:53:00 AM
From: Night Writer  Respond to of 97611
 
World Wide Wackiness

Iraq is back, Chrysler's gone and EarthWeb's out of this world.
Meanwhile, from the bear den: Pakistan and Russia look good

By Pablo Galarza

moneydaily.com

Fears of rising tensions in the Middle East scared money to the
sidelines. Investors also figure that since Greenspan's FedRes
won't shave rates next week, there's no reason to bid up stocks
anymore. The Dow Jones industrial average gained about 6 (that's
not a typo) and more stocks went down (1,662) than up (1,336). The
Nasdaq did worse, as Internet stocks, sans the newbies, dragged
down it down for the second day in a row. The broad market average
fell 11.05 points to 1,851.06 The S&P 500 index lost (just) 3
points (again, not a typo) to 1,118.17. So where did the money go?
The bond market rallied as investors sought safe havens for their
dough. The 30-year Treasury issue gained 19/32 in price for a
yield of 5.25%.

GUSHER? Have people finally come to their senses about oil
consumption (gas guzzler, anyone)? Nah, its just another Middle
East scare. (Funny isn't it, I thought that we didn't buy anything
from Iraq.) S&P Energies were up 3.1% today because of trouble in
Iraq. The oil business looks like it will have a crummy '99 as all
the big oil and exploration guys -- Mobil, Chevron, Exxon -- are
cutting cap expenditures. Meanwhile, Texaco announced that it's
laying off 1,000 employees. Low oil prices have forced them to cut
costs. Shares were up 2.9%

DELL RINGS THE BELL, AGAIN: Dell beat expected 3Q profits by a
penny, up 55 percent to $384 million, or 28 cents a share. A year
ago, Dell earned $248 million, or 17 cents per share. For you
E-Commerce types: For the first time, Dell sales over the Internet
topped $10 million A DAY, making up a fifth of total sales.
Investors, though, weren't that impressed. Dell fell 2 3/4 to 69
1/4 at the bell, and fell another 3 in aftermarket trading. It's
not enough to squeak out an extra penny when you are trading at 78
times last 12 months earnings.

DOES THIS MEAN I CAN'T GET THAT WITH CORINTHIAN LEATHER? Today was
Chrysler's last trading day. In a bon voyage as it morphs into
DaimlerChrysler (NYSE: DCX), shares were down 1/2 a point. Now
that one of the big three has been gobbled up by the Germans,
Safeway replaced it in the S&P. And all the Index funds had to buy
the supermarket giant's stock. SWY's shares were up 2.7%.

WEB WACKINESS: On EarthWeb's second day of trading since it IPOed,
shares were up 42 percent and it was the seventh most actively
traded stock. TheGlobe.com starts trading tomorrow... people think
it could be another e-bay

SAMPLES:

Since all the bears were at the Jim Grant's (a perma bear and
Money columnist who runs a very successful newsletter) yearly
conference, you can't point to them for today's so-bearing stock
market performance. A who's who of money managers come to Grant's
gathering to hear about contrarian investment opportunities --
anyone ready to throw cash at Pakistan? Then what about Russia?
You get the drift. But how about dropping some cash in
commodity-based companies like copper producer Asarco? This one
might be worth looking at, since Walter Schloss, a value guru ala
Buffett and Ben Graham and a 40+ year Wall St. Vet, talked about
it at lunch.

Also the U.S. is the proud owner of the second most expensive
stock market in the world (yes, someone does rank this, and yes
people do take it seriously. List is topped by Switzerland -- have
you seen the P/E on Swiss based stocks? It would make Microsoft
blush.

But one thing I did take away with me, along with copious notes --
90 percent chance the fed cuts rates (that's right-- cuts rates,
folks) because it's interested in "global sanguinity". One guy was
predicting that the Dow will hit 10K in the 1Q 99, and then we
will go lower.

Bumper sticker seen in Minn., Ms. McLean's home state: "My
Governor can beat the hell out of your Governor."



To: Night Writer who wrote (36591)11/15/1998 9:57:00 AM
From: Senator949  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
NW,

Thanks for the pointers. On the Top 20 Largest Short Interest list it's too bad they don't give the shares short total as percentage of float and give a days to cover number.

From my calculations CPQ has only 1.7% of shares short and a little over 2 days to cover. Disney at the top of the list has 3.5% of shares short and almost 12 days to cover.

Robin