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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William who wrote (26284)11/15/1998 6:04:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 70976
 
William, please see below...

November 11, 1998



Are Your Finances
Y2K-Compliant?

By Terry Savage

The countdown is on: There are 415 days left until the Year 2000. Are you
prepared for it?

Let's face it. No one knows what might happen when the ball drops on January 1,
2000 -- not only in the financial system, but also as a result of all the embedded
chips in everything from your coffee maker to the car you drive. My grandmother
always said, "Don't build up horrors before they exist."

So let's set aside the alarmists who advocate socking
away freeze-dried food and plenty of ammunition in
your cabin in Montana. (Remember: Some people said
the same things during the oil embargoes and inflation
of the 1970s.) On the other hand, it would be unwise
to ignore the possibilities of some disruptions -- especially when it comes to
personal finances.

I bank online and figure if my account is messed up, there will be a lot of people in
the same boat. Still, next December I plan not only to back up my system, but also
to print out my entire 1999 check register. If you're among those who pre-pay
their real estate taxes or state income taxes in December to get the deduction in the
current year, you'll have to make sure to get your check in earlier next year to
prevent delays or mixups.

When it comes to brokerage accounts, bank accounts, and mutual funds, I believe
that most major institutions are going to keep track of all the assets without any
trouble. But if you do decide to register your securities and have them sent to you,
be sure to make that request now-- before the transfer agents get too busy.

While major financial services firms -- including banks, brokerages and mutual
fund companies -- proclaim their Y2K-compliant status, many smaller companies
don't have either the money or the talent to investigate the potential problems in
their computer systems. It's not just a problem for small business people; some
reports have said that the government, especially the IRS, may be among the least
prepared to face the new millennium.

Somehow I don't have too much sympathy for the IRS; if they can't collect my
taxes, maybe we'll get a new and better system! On the other hand, I've been told
that Social Security started earlier on its Y2K problems and is therefore closer to
solving them. But what good will it do to have updated computers if they run out
of money?

Speaking of running out of money, there is $450 billion worth of paper U.S.
currency, about two-thirds of which circulates outside the country. In Russia and
Asia, the $100 billion has come into even greater demand recently as a medium of
transaction and store of wealth. Untold other millions of dollars are hidden under
mattresses or buried in coffee cans.

What will happen when people hit the ATM machines for cash reserves next
December? It's reasonable to expect there to be glitches in ATMs and credit card
systems during the Y2K transition. Some people I've spoken with are planning to
withdraw enough cash to tide them over for a few weeks during that time period.

The Fed is taking that issue seriously. It has ordered an extra $50 billion in
currency to be printed during 1999. That represents a 33 percent increase in "cash
on hand" over the $150 billion that is currently stored in Federal Reserve district
banks. In case of a Y2K cash crunch, Fed officials say they could always increase
the amount by printing fewer $1 and $5 bills, and more $100 bills.

Also, they point out that about 75 percent of the money printed each year is
actually used to replace old, worn-out bills. If worse came to worst, they could
continue to use that "dirty" money. And they say they don't expect people to
withdraw huge amounts of cash from banks -- just enough to cover basic
necessities for a few days.

Of course, any number of things can go wrong -- especially the things nobody is
anticipating. Count me among those who will get their records in order early next
year, withdraw a little spending money, and stock up on some basic necessities
(such as Campbell's soup but not an electric can opener) along with the
champagne. The rest is out of our control.