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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (7512)	11/17/1998 1:27:00 AM
From: George Papadopoulos	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9980

Steven >I read the Stratfor pieces, but I don't think they should be accepted as gospel truth. For one thing, they often seem a bit alarmist, perhaps natural in an organization which feels obliged to produce a daily "red alert". No doubt as far as accepting them as gospel truth. But you must admit they always bring up excellent points and they sure make you think a lot. I wonder if that foreign policy guru Brezinsky (anyone remember him?) works for them? Anyone knows where he is now? >Saddam is in control of events. >This is truth, but not whole truth. Saddam also cannot deliver a decisive blow, nor can he disengage. Nor can he accomplish any of his political or economic goals. To observe that US behavior is affected by Saddam's actions and reactions is one thing, to leap to the conclusion that Saddam can control US behavior is quite another. If Saddam could control the US, the sanctions would have been lifted long ago, and nobody would be discussing arms inspections. I disagree. I guess an attack was under way and Sadamm said I comply I comply...attack was called off. Sadam can start and abort a crisis at his will and that was the main point by Stratfor. >I also do not believe that the US decision not to occupy Iraq was based on the horror of seeing Iraqi soldiers killed. The idea that the US could have gone in, removed Saddam, walked away, and watched a decent, democratic, government emerge is absurd. I am with you there. After Sadam you would have seen the Iranians jumping for joy to grab a piece. Whether we like it or not Sadam is a stabilizing factor in the region. Too bad there is no credible replacement...they are all dead:( I happen to have a few Arab friends. Believe me no one likes Sadam who has brought incredible suffering to his people. But this is what they believe: -The sanctions are hurting the people and helping Sadam who blames the sanctions for the suffering while he goes from a palace to another. -The inspections are a complete cruel joke in the face of all Arabs. For over 7 years now they are still going on with no sign of letup. The media keeps portraying that the Iraqis do not cooperate. In fact, every time they comply with the inspector's demands NEW demands appear and on and on it goes. -Clinton is letting Netanahu completely ridicule the peace process when in fact he could make it happen if the US REALLY wanted to. I think the Stratfor article made a few great points: 1) Anyone can get access to weapons of mass destruction (now that's scary) 2) There is absolutely no consistency in US foreign policy IMHO of course George George