To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (21481 ) 11/18/1998 3:40:00 AM From: IQBAL LATIF Respond to of 50167
A point of view I would like to share--- Wednesday, Nov 18 1998 12:19AM ET Hi Ike, I have a friend who has been very bearish since June, and he has been very successful in the market, enough to make me pay attention to what he has to say. I'm PMing this to you because I thought you may like to comment on the thread on of some of his thoughts. Had I listened to him back in June, I would have made out better than I am now, but I also would have missed the bhumpo rally and future gains to come as the small caps continue to rise. I will post it below. And again, thanks for your thread. You really helped me to stand pat when I got caught in the downturn. If I had sold into that, I would be in terrible shape now. -------------------------- ---- On McNeil Lehrer tonight there was a panel of economists from the the midwest, south, west and central us., all noting strong signs of economic slowing in the us, with predictions of slowed growth but not recession. Milton Friedman or some other pundit was on noting that for the first time in too may years to count, the american public spent more than it produced in september....He then went on to point out this really didn't mean that folks really dipped into their savings to finance continued consumer spending, but that even though they did, it didn't signal anything ominous. now lets see........how long will the savings last before spending dries up. The economist panel on another segment noted banks turning down capital requests from mid cap companies.. The interest rate cut is too little and too late to stem the liquidity crunch that is coming in the banking system. I am going to nearly all cash at the first of the year, or before if there is a significant correction in the interim.