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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RX4PROFIT who wrote (20830)11/17/1998 6:38:00 PM
From: soup  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213177
 
Free Advice on AAPL.

Actually, I'm thinking of changing my handle from "soup" to "free advice" before someone else gets the idea. :)

Evil money managers seem to be having their way at pinning AAPL below $35 till option expiration on Friday.

Motivation? Take a look at the open interest on Nov calls to see how much money they're saving by having all those $35+ calls expire worthless.

cboe.pcquote.com

My free advice is that we're living in times of not-much-reward for a-lot-of-risk. Prominent US fund managers - Fidelity's Stansky yesterday and Montgomery's Roger Honour today -- are predicting single digit growth for the foreseeable future:

bloomberg.com

I still think AAPL's a 1) fine company and 2) reasonably priced stock. I just think it's get-rich-slow idea vs. a get-rich-quick one.

[I don't know about Robert Morgan's prediction about AAPL hitting $50 in Jan 1999, but assuming it takes till Jan *2000* -- that's still a 44% (!) return in a low return environment.]

So buy the stock - or play *long-term* LEAPS for the leverage - $30 Jan 2001 calls can be had for $13 5/8 (making $44 your break-even price after over a two year horizon.)

Short-term plays, in as volatile an environment as we're in now, are scary. They also distort your perspective on what, may be a jump-ball short-term but, is basically a good long-term play.

[Let's see, those Jan $35s, at 3 5/8 with MacWorld and Q1 earnings coming up, look like awful tasty jail-bait. Woo Hoo!!]