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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Peter Bernhardt who wrote (26740)11/18/1998 2:24:00 PM
From: Robert Rose  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
<Except for the one nagging flaw that he has yet to lead this fantastic company to
profitability. Indeed, for anyone who really cares (and apparently no one does),
Amazon offers no prospect, either now or through the foreseeable and even distant
future, of showing a profit. Instead losses continue to widen.

While momentum and market hysteria pushes the price of this retail company that has
made a virtue out of losing money ever higher, it can be fairly said that the only thing that
matters is the price of the stock and that its continuing ascendance into even thinner air is
all the justification one needs to claim that this company is being run to perfection.

That may be. And others may very well profit from this mania and good for them. I'll
just watch the fun myself, and look forward to someday returning to a world where
perfection means something other than its currently perverted definition.>

Peter, did you have a brain tranplant? You are sounding too much like one of my favorite posters!

Glenn, I hope you take this as a complement!

Rob



To: Peter Bernhardt who wrote (26740)11/18/1998 3:18:00 PM
From: Tom D  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 164684
 
<< the only thing that matters is the price of the stock and that its continuing ascendance into even thinner air is all the justification one needs to claim that this company is being run to perfection.>>

re: Justification

In its first quarter of selling music CD's online, AMZN grabbed the largest share of the market away from the former leaders. I would love to hear the explanation for this from all those folks who think that price is the only thing that matters in selling on the internet.

Bezos has mastered staggering logistical, personnel, and marketing challenges, not to mention the alliances and deals.

What is in the future? Near-term, a stock split would be painful for the shorts. Then there will be the Q4 98 report in January.

Longer-term, the destruction of the land-based bookstore business model. Who owns all those books in the stores? The publishers. They pay interest cost on the books until they are sold and then accept the loss on the unsold books. They do this because they have no choice. When AMZN and other online booksellers get large enough, they will get a discount from publishers because the publishers are spared the interest cost and the risk of returns. AMZN turns over inventory many times faster than land-based stores. Revenues per employee are staggering. When land-based bookstores are faced with new contracts from publishers, demanding that the bookstores own their inventory, combined with internet booksellers skimming off 15 or 20% of book store revenues, (admittedly in a few years), many bookstores may not survive. In my opinion, its a question of when not if. When I start reading articles about numerous closings of bookstores, I will figure it is time to think about taking some profits.

IMHO, E commerce will dramatically change land-based commerce, in a few years. I am betting that many people today still do not understand or believe this. When they figure it out, I hope to sell my stock to them.

Best Regards,
Tom