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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (26469)11/18/1998 5:31:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Jacob, you returned just in time before we sent out a search party. :)
I doubt a Gulf war would cause a drop of 2000 DOW points, even though
the one in 1990 caused that size drop [percentage wise]. My reason is
in '90 the opposing force was an unknown, now it isn't. DOW chart...
averages.dowjones.com

Re >at current valuations, there is nothing to do but wait
till the fundamentals reassert themselves. I reiterate my hold
rating on AMAT.
<

Maybe the fundamentals won't reassert themselves for a long time.
I would prefer they would, because then I'd have a chance of
understanding stock prices. But I can't afford to sit on the side
lines till they do. No quibble with your hold rating.

I appreciate your posting your thoughts!

Gottfried



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (26469)11/18/1998 7:50:00 PM
From: blake_paterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Jacob, re: <<review of earnings report and bottom indicators>>

I agree, especially w/ your sections #3 and 4.

#3 Adjusting for delays and cancellations, the real (net) BTB should be about 0.8-0.9. I don't buy this >1 stuff.

#4 Yes indeed. They didn't earn $0.07 this Q, they lost $0.51!!

But what does any of this matter regarding the stock price? Once the brokerages decided to guarantee themselves a seat at the dinner table before it was too late this time, reality went out the window. Now its all in the hands of artificial (common stock) supply and demand relationships, regardless of whether its a V shape or a flattened W shape bottom. But the "bottom" is here. Key point.

BP