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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gersh Avery who wrote (17866)11/19/1998 10:02:00 AM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
Mr Chartist: this reco looks real good. G is struggling this am.

THE TECHNICAL REGISTER
By Mr. Chartist

November 19, 1998

BREAKOUT?

The markets are still in a breather, following the dramatic rally prior
to Tuesday's interest-rate cut. We soon expect the rumor mills to churn
forecasts of the forthcoming December 22nd rate cut before the end of November.
This should propel the DJIA and NASDAQ into record territory. However, we are
concerned that the DJIA is up less than 67 points since the day "before" the Fed
cut rates.

Technically, most sectors are poised for another dramatic rally. The
weekly DJIA candlestick chart failed to confirm a hanging man. The weekly EMA
support levels are poised to crossover. This is extremely bullish. The weekly
NASDAQ candlestick failed to confirm a shooting star and has weekly EMA support
levels at the same point of near-crossover.

The weekly EMA NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 100 indices have already crossed
over and are uptrending. Barring a "surprise Friday," the week should close out
favoring yet another very strong rally.

KEY RECOMMENDATION

Gillette (G) has begun a serious decline, which could gain momentum.
Tuesday's trading confirmed Monday's daily hanging man. Wednesday's trading
confirmed that confirmation. Both days showed sharp increases in trading volume.
Gillette dropped through its 9-18-20 EMA support levels. The EMA lines have
curved downward. The daily Momentum indicator has dropped into negative
territory. The daily Slow Stochastic lines have crossed and the weekly SS lines
are about to cross. The 47-day EMA support level stands at just under $42-3/4.
The weekly candlestick chart shows a completed evening star reversal and
previous weekly support at the $42/share level. Gillette may be poised for a
drop to, or below, $40/share during the December series of equity put options.
The most conservative, and least leveraged, is the Gillette December 50 equity
put options (GXJ) - it has the strongest Momentum indicator. The best may be the
Gillette December 45 equity put options (GXI) because the Slow Stochastic lines
have crossed, but with less explosiveness than the GXJ options. The gamblers
will probably choose the December 40 equity puts (GXH) because they are the
least expensive and offer the biggest leveraged return if Gillette rapidly
deteriorates before the options expire on December 19th.