To: LemurHouse who wrote (258 ) 11/19/1998 7:18:00 PM From: Anthony Wong Respond to of 656
Immunex Shares Rise on Investor Hopes for Drug Launch (Update2) Bloomberg News November 19, 1998, 6:03 p.m. ET Immunex Shares Rise on Investor Hopes for Drug Launch (Update2) (Adds analyst comment, closes shares.) Washington, Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Immunex Corp. shares rose as much as 19 percent, driven by investor optimism about initial sales of its recently-approved Enbrel rheumatoid arthritis drug. Shares in the Seattle, Washington-based company rose 9 7/16 to close at 86 15/16 in trading of more than 2.3 million shares, four times its three-month daily average. Earlier, shares touched a 52-week high of 91 7/8. The rise was driven in part by increased confidence that doctor and patient demand will be strong for Enbrel, approved this month by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Immunex disclosed in one of its regulatory filings how much it will spend to build its inventory of the drug -- which may be a sign that demand is robust. Immunex has made ''significant purchase commitments to the contract manufacturer for inventory of Enbrel totaling approximately $104 million at Sept. 30,'' the company said in its quarterly filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Salomon Smith Barney analyst Meirav Chovav said she expects to raise her sales estimates for Enbrel ''significantly'' from her current estimate of $125 million in 1999. Chovav, who has a ''buy'' rating on the stock, also said she plans to raise her earnings-per-share estimates and her price target for the Immunex ''shortly.'' The filing ''implies that the company expects to sell at least $250 million of Enbrel in 1999,'' Chovav said in a report issued this afternoon. ''This is significantly higher than our current estimate.'' Immunex officials declined comment on the stock's activity, though they did say the company is pleased with early sales. ''The launch of Enbrel has gone exceedingly well,'' said Tim Warner, a spokesman for the company. Still, the purchase commitments are an indication of company expectations, rather than actual Enbrel sales, said Scott Sacane, an analyst with NationsBanc Montgomery Securities. ''We really haven't heard anything specific in regards to launch numbers'' for Enbrel, Sacane said. Sacane has a ''sell'' rating on Immunex' stock because he thinks the expectations for its sales potential are overly high. ''The good news now is we don't have to wait long (to see) how much they can sell,'' Sacane said. Shares in Immunex have risen from a 52-week low of 49 7/8 in early October -- about a month before the drug was cleared for sale -- to today's year-long high of 91 7/8. Analysts have said in the past that Enbrel's annual peak sales could top $1 billion. Even by the most conservative of sales estimates, Enbrel would bring in more than eight times the revenue seen last year from all of the company's seven drugs, which include the cancer treatment Novantrone. Enbrel will initially compete with older drugs and Hoechst AG's Arava, an oral treatment recently approved to slow the progression of rheumatoid arthritis. Centocor Inc., a biotechnology company with three products on the market, is also seeking approval to market its Crohn's disease drug Remicade as a rheumatoid-arthritis treatment. --Kristin Reed in Washington (202) 624-1858 with reporting by