To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (57837 ) 11/21/1998 5:02:00 PM From: Dwight E. Karlsen Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
"While there is little doubt that a breach of last week's low in Europe and US share markets will cause a second decline of 30-40% (from major high), please refer to our daily reports for specific timing and price levels. The overall prospects remain pointing to a bear market moving into at least next year and possibly into 2000 before a change in trend materializes. We still see a further collapse in Russia and a major disruption in both Eastern Europe and Latin America before this event is over. We also see a Clinton resignation as inevitable along with a defeat of Kohl in Germany and a collapse in the Obuchi government in Japan. Those looking for someone to pull a rabbit out of the hat should not look to the Fed. While lowering interest rates by the Fed will help to reduce perhaps the magnitude of the overall decline – it will NOT reverse the trend back to new highs and prosperity for all!" princetoneconomics.com from: Crash of 1998 Is it Over? Or Just Beginning? By Martin A. Armstrong Copyright September 9th, 1998 Princeton Economic Institute ------------- Interesting how within a few weeks of the near-term bottom, bears turn even more confident and even more bearish, emphatically making the same types of bold and contrary-sounding statements that bulls make near an interim top. For example, you only have to read a little "analysis" by paid promoters of internet stocks working for investment brokerage houses, and you will soon find that internet stocks are "expensive but worth it", and they have "much further to run", blah blah blah. Fundamental analysis has been happily thrown out the window in favor of "momentum analysis". The bulls are in fully bellow, and because of the market's delirious happiness with the state of the world's fundamental economic condition, stocks simply can only go higher. It's like, only a fool would think stocks could ever pull back for a month or two of breathing.