BBC: Health/Wonder drugs could bankrupt NHS Saturday, November 21, 1998 Published at 16:20 GMT
Viagra: massive potential cost to the NHS
The inexorable advance of modern technology is about to pose the biggest problem the NHS has ever faced.
Scientists using the latest techniques are producing ever more effective drugs to combat a range of diseases that until now have defeated modern medicine.
However, this technology comes at a price - a price that the NHS will struggle to afford, no matter how much extra cash is pumped in by the government.
A survey published this week by the National Schizophrenia Fellowship has found that nearly half of health authorities in the UK cannot afford modern anti-psychotic drug treatments for schizophrenics.
Drugs such as clozapine, olanzapine and resperidone that can transform the lives of seriously mentally patients are blacklisted up and down the country.
Instead, thousands of patients are being given old, less effective drugs which have serious side-effects.
Health authorities are taking a tough line, but, with finite resources, they have no real choice. The NSF says a yearly course of the new drugs can cost up to £5,800 per person, compared with £100 a person for a course of the old ones.
Multiple sclerosis patients, too, have found that they cannot be prescribed Beta Interferon on the NHS, even though the drug has been clinically proven to have a dramatic effect on a potentially crippling disease.
The impotence treatment Viagra threatens to cost the NHS so much money - approximately £1bn a year - that ministers have blocked its prescription until they decide how best to meet demand. There are many more examples.
Stephen Thornton, chief executive of the NHS Confederation, which represents health authorities and trusts, said: "There are a growing number of very expensive and clinically effective drugs coming on to the market. In the last three or fours we have seen a number, and in the next few years we will see even more.
"They (health authorities) have to take some critically difficult decisions, weighing up on balance whether they invest in a drug like this, or whether they invest in other new procedures and interventions in other parts of the health service."
There appears to be no easy answer. Certainly, the drugs industry claims costs cannot be cut back.
Richard Ley, spokesman for the Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry, said: "We have done the easy stuff, and we are left with the much more difficult and complex problems which often require very expensive new technologies."
The government has denied that rationing of care is necessary in the NHS.
But critics claim plans to make GPs responsible for local health care provision are merely an attempt by ministers to ensure that patients who are told they cannot have treatment blame their doctor, not their MP.
'Don't pass the buck'
Godfrey Horridge, a full-time negotiator for the pharmacy industry, said tough decisions about the rationing of drug treatments was inevitable and they should be the responsibility of the government.
"The government as the caretaker of the NHS should take responsibility rather than trying to pass the buck," he said.
"If the NHS cannot afford new drugs then someone has got to take responsibility for making tough decisions. Difficult decisions will have to be made, and priorities will have to be set.
"Public expectation has always run ahead of available resources, and as patients have become better educated expectations have grown. People now expect expensive treatment to be available almost on demand, but realistically those expectations will never be met."
Mr Horridge said ensuring patients received cheaper generic drugs, rather than brand names, could save a small amount of money.
However any attempt to change current regulations so that drug companies cannot market their new treatments exclusively when they first hit the market would backfire, he claimed. Profits would be hit too hard, and innovation would be stifled.
Public pressure
Dr Judy Gilley, a GP negotiator for the British Medical Association, believes the government reforms have created a mechanism by which public pressure can be brought to bear on the government to ensure that the NHS does prescribe clinically effective treatments.
Primary care groups, led by GPs, will be responsible for commissioning local health care services, but they will have to abide by guidance on suitable treatments laid down by the government's new National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE).
"PCGs will be able to argue that, yes, a treatment is expensive, but it has been recommended for use by NICE so it should be used," said Dr Gilley.
"Then, if there is a shortfall in the prescribing budget as a result it will be up to the PCG together with patient interest groups - which must be consulted under the government's proposed reforms - to utilise public opinion. In that way the rationing dilemma can be shared with the public."
Dr Gilley, however, is not convinced that the advent of new treatment will necessarily mean that costs rise in perpetuity.
"It may be that there are long term cost benefits from expensive new drugs," she said.
"They may reduce morbidity tremendously and may reduce the need for surgical interventions and hospital stays.
"People should not think in knee-jerk terms. New treatments don't necessarily mean more money is needed, what is needed is careful, on-going review."
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