To: chirodoc who wrote (1116 ) 11/23/1998 4:13:00 PM From: Anthony Wong Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
Looking for top-line sales growth Janus Fund manager finds plenty to like in big-caps By Don Scott, CBS MarketWatch Last Update: 4:06 PM ET Nov 23, 1998 NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Janus Twenty Fund portfolio manager Scott Schoelzel pays keen attention to a company's top-line sales growth. "You love to get it through unit sales, because there are not many companies out there that can actually increase prices any more," Schoelzel said. "So I'm looking for growing top lines, expanding margins and real, open-ended opportunities, not just companies that can satisfy a small niche for a short period of time, but companies that are going to eventually become, or are, the brand name franchises in their respective industries." His stock picking strategy is "very simple and very straight forward." He looks for companies in only a handful of sectors that include: telecommunications (equipment and services), technology, health (pharmaceuticals, biotech and healthcare), financial services, retailing and entertainment. Twenty Fund's performance Schoelzel took over the Twenty Fund (JAVLX) in August 1997 and since then, the fund has grown at an annualized rate of 34.4 percent, versus the S&P 500's annualized 17.4 percent over the same period. The numbers are computed by Morningstar's Principia Pro database through the end of October. Year-to-date, Twenty is up 47.9 percent, the market's up a comparatively stingy 19.9 percent. The $12 billion fund is one of the no-load offerings the Janus Group of Funds (www.janus.com). Schoelzel also turned in top-draw performances running the Founders Special Fund and the Founder's Growth fund before Janus. He's 40 and is using the Twenty Fund to invest for his own retirement and to pay for his three children's college education. He says his entire liquid net worth invested in the fund. That clearly puts him on the same side of the table as shareholders. Dell, Nokia sales Schoelzel says unit sales are up 70 percent, year over year, at Dell and up about 15 percent sequentially. He notes that sales this past quarter were up 51 percent over the prior year. And sales were up 11 percent from the second to the third quarter. Another company Schoelzel likes is Nokia, Finland's cellular phone company. He says American consumers are ringing up the new AT&T 11-cents-a-minute cellular deal so quickly that Nokia, which supplies the handsets, can't make the phones fast enough. "They're producing a million a week and there's a waiting list." Also encouraging: in the U.S., the cellular phone penetration rate is just 20 percent. How big could it get? In Europe, the penetration rate is 50 percent. Sure, the field is crowded, Schoelzel admits, but "it's pretty clear to me that Nokia seems to be a step ahead of its competitors, not only providing the feature sets that customers and consumers want, but adding new features that are opening up entire new markets." Intuit Is there a particular stock that sticks out in Schoelzel's mind as being an undiscovered gem that's going to pop once the rest of the world figures it out? He says he's begun building a position in Intuit (INTU), which he acknowledges is not a cheap stock, no matter how you slice it. It's been trading mostly between 45 and 55, though lately it's moved higher. "Everybody talks about Amazon.com and how big the book market is, and all the other little markets when people are trying to imagine what can be done on the web," he notes, "but consumer financial services is a $1 trillion market--that's the mother lode." Schoelzel says if Intuit, through its Quicken software, insurance and mortgage offerings, and other relationships, can become the Amazon.com of financial services on the Web, then "this stock could be gargantuan and it has by no means had one of these Amazon.com or Yahoo! type of moves." cbs.marketwatch.com