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Technology Stocks : Altaba Inc. (formerly Yahoo) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Original Mad Dog who wrote (15413)11/23/1998 2:02:00 PM
From: Mac S. Giballa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
Everyone agrees now that $300 is no longer a pipe dream, where gonna be there sooner than we thought.



To: Original Mad Dog who wrote (15413)11/23/1998 3:43:00 PM
From: Webfoot  Respond to of 27307
 
Can anyone get any numbers to wash?

Today's analysis from Smith Barney Salamon shows institutions have stopped buying YHOO over 3 weeks ago.

With 80% (roughly 30 million shares of the tradeable float of 37.6 mil) in their hands, it is we individuals who are churning those remaining 7-8 million shares at a rate of 8-12 million in volume every day. People - that's over 100% turnover of the shares in active play. ...and you say this is not pure speculation?

The big holders are smiling all the way to the bank, but when they decide to take profits, there will be a bloodbath at our expense.

Ironic how announcement of a very serious competitor, whose combined user base already generates more traffic by far than Yahoo, is ignored. No, this is not a bubble (and if you really believe THAT, I have some land in Florida I'd like to talk to you about)

Think about another thing. Yahoo claims "27 Million unique users".
Being generous, say that only 10% are duplicates or nonsense entries.

That means that even at 24.3 million truly unique users, Yahoo claims to have registered over 50% of the commonly accepted number of 40-45 million total Internet users worldwide.

...and of those 40-45 million, it is commonly held that 25% use the net only for e-mail. So Yahoo has somehow "registered" 75%-90% of all the users who actually surf world wide? ...without being any browser's default? No Way. They would not be in a distant 3rd place on page views if that many users were really coming to Yahoo with any regularity.

Yahoo's numbers just don't wash, no matter how you look at them.



To: Original Mad Dog who wrote (15413)11/23/1998 5:08:00 PM
From: Randy Ellingson  Respond to of 27307
 
*OT*

Given that YHOO is valued at 4x/user more than AOL even though AOL's users are all different people (no pseudonyms) in possession of credit cards and YHOO's are not (lots of pseudonyms, some multiple, and no credit card needed), I am interested to know how YAHOO will overtake AOL in market cap. Do you predict it will be:

1. AOL's market cap declines
2. YHOO's per user premium increases
3. YHOO's user base expands dramatically more quickly

Or something else?


*If* Yahoo does overtake AOL's market cap, my guess is it wil be due primarily to 'something else', and likely not to #1 above.

I don't see any reason for AOL's market cap to decline due to anything business-related. They can deliver their content to their customers via TCPIP, so even if/as they lose direct-dial customers to cable or similar high-speed access, they'll still have many paying customers.

Actually, what is the thinking here, as far as AOL's maintaining/growing a paying customer base as alternate access to the Internet rolls out? Will AOL lease lines to offer access? That is one key aspect of their current service -- they are also the ISP.

As for Yahoo's per-user premium, I think we'll see this increase, perhaps markedly. I don't know AOL's business as well as I should, but it seems that Yahoo may be better positioned for international marketing agreements since access to their sites is free -- that may ultimately bring more users. Yahoo can integrate content more easily since they are html (this may change as AOL converts -- will they?). What currently is AOL's main strength (IMO), that they cater to someone who wants it all to be 'easy', could become slightly less critical as PC and Internet technology make it easier to start, navigate, get email, etc. Yahoo is part of that movement.

Yahoo's user base... I suppose it could expand dramatically more quickly, but more likely just 'faster'. I don't know Yahoo's business that wel either (!); myself, I find I use their quote.yahoo.com all the time (and have found nothing better -- their site is simple, fast to load, and very functional), their mapping and yellow pages, etc. But certainly I do not use it for 'everything' or even close to it.

My understanding is that Yahoo has services and content such that many people use just one or a few aspects of their site. But if these services are the best, or have hooked users, then that gives Yahoo an attentive base from which to expand the customers' viewing time. Yahoo has the luxury of a little time to strengthen the familiarity of users with other content.

FWIW, I am an AOL customer, indirectly. I do the web site for the Denver Summer Ultimate League, and decided to sign up for AOL's BYOA plan ($9.95 per month) to serve the site:

members.aol.com

I chose this because iwas the cheapest way I knew of the serve a site with a reliable and likely permanent vendor.

I wonder if AOL users find themselves migrating to the web more and away from AOL's content somewhat...?

I didn't compare AOL and Yahoo so well, but those ae some thoughts. What do you think?