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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (34317)11/25/1998 7:18:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bobby.

>>>>>>>>> very bullish action today after the big run to new highs yesterday. Consolidation/breather before the next upmove. <<<<<<<<

Frankly, I thought yesterday was more of a neurtal day even though the market was down, in light of the transports popping. Overall I feel we are very close to a mid-term top, and I got a possible hint yesterday from the INTERNUTs.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
INDEX UPDATE
--------------------------------

I am starting to feel more comfortable in calling a mid-term top soon.

Per a previous update I mentioned that we should see another spurt up with the
end-of-month rally/window dressing that should bring us into the 1st week of DEC. The
month end rallys commonly start during the last 2 days of the month and extend 2-5
days into the following month, which would cover the first week of DEC.

I have not yet gone short yet since I feel this immediate dip will not be that strong, but
the next one will be stronger if a DOUBLE TOP (AROUND 9375) is formed. My
technicals indicate that selling should start by the 2nd week of DEC and as early as
towards the end of the 1st week in DEC if a DOUBLE TOP does form.

This is what I noticed today. The hottest sector right now is the Internuts, and it would
not be that illogical of a conclusion that when the hottest sector starts to top off, it could
be a strong hint that the overall market could also be topping off (MID-TERM OF 30
DAYS). It is hard to explain since I have notice something unique with my techinals
concerning the major internuts. My technicals actually indicated that a short/mid-term
top occured for the internuts last Fri. I know, that cant be since the internuts have gone
up since then. My technicals are not solely based on price, and there are few occassions
that my technicals are heading down while the price is heading up and vice versa. Well,
my technicals have not gone up since last Friday for the internuts even though they have.
The best way to explain it is by the size of the pullbacks off of the intraday highs.
Yahoo closed 17 points off the intraday highs, and AMZN was 19, and EBAY was 24.

Such strong pullbacks off the intraday highs confirm what my technicals were telling me.
I believe the internuts have hit a mid-term top(30 days) at todays intradays highs.

Could a mid-term top also hint a mid-term top soon in the rest of the market - possibly,
since it is the strongest sector.

Seeya