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To: banco$ who wrote (23382)11/24/1998 7:30:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116753
 
FOCUS-Shocked OPEC sees no escape
from oil price crash
04:14 p.m Nov 24, 1998 Eastern

By William Maclean

VIENNA, Nov 24 (Reuters) - OPEC producers
gathered on Tuesday for their winter conference
stunned at the extent of a price crash the oil cartel
appears powerless to resist.

Ministers arriving in Vienna for Wednesday's meeting
found a forceful reminder of the crisis that has played
havoc with their petroleum-dependent economies in
an Algerian bid for a rare heads of state summit.

Algerian President Liamine Zeroual's call for a
meeting of the leaders of oil exporting countries,
possibly early next year, was one of the few signs
that any new effort is underway to rally oil out of one
the biggest slumps on record.

But the chance of any immediate new action from
OPEC in Vienna to siphon off a huge stockpile of oil
and address stagnating global demand looked slim.

''The oil community is looking for guidance from
OPEC and OPEC is looking for guidance from
someone else,'' said Peter Gignoux, head of energy at
Salomon Smith Barney in London.

Minority OPEC calls for tougher supply limits
beyond the 2.6 million barrels a day package of
restrictions agreed earlier this year look to have
failed.

''I'm in favour of more cuts -- it is a very dangerous
situation,'' said Libyan Oil Minister Abdullah al-Badri
on his arrival in the Austria capital.

But such an initiative found little favour among OPEC
big guns Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Iran who
instead appear intent on indulging in the familiar cartel
pastime of squabbling over output discipline.

A damaging new row was brewing over allegations
of extra barrels leaked onto glutted markets that are
undermining June's unprecedented supply
management pact with exporters outside OPEC.

''There is 600,000 barrels per day of oil production
over and above the pledged cuts,'' said a Gulf source
familiar with thinking in Saudi Arabia, OPEC's
leading policy maker.

Saudi, for the time being, has ruled out more output
curbs, insisting it wants full adherence to existing
limits.

That reflects Riyadh's concern that it not be left to
shoulder the burden of supply restraint leaving rivals
to grab extra market share -- a situation it vowed
never to repeat after the last big oil slump of 1986.

''Let's first adhere to pledged cuts. After that we can
assist the markets with whatever action is needed,''
the Gulf source said.

That means ministers will consider only prolonging
current measures by six months to the end of next
year -- little comfort to a market where benchmark
Brent futures on Wednesday were valued at just
$11.19 a barrel, near historical lows.

Oil this year, on average at $13.67 for Brent, is
priced lower than at any time since 1976.

Those are prices that Algerian Oil Minister Youcef
Yousfi, on a lightning tour aimed at winning support
for more production cuts, says are at ''dangerously
low levels.''

''Yes, there is too much oil in the market,'' agreed
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh.

But independent monitors said Iran and Venezuela
would appear to be the countries most clearly in
contravention of June's supply curbs.

Venezuela stands accused of increasing output for
domestic political reasons ahead of December
presidential elections. And there are growing
concerns that Iran is wavering on its promise to
reduce supplies amid Tehran's claims it was asked to
cut from too low a baseline.

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited