November, Teledotcom - Strictly Business for Nextel
Infusion of big money and top talent pays off for wireless carrier
By John T. Mulqueen. John T. Mulqueen is a freelance business writer based in New Rochelle, N.Y.
Funny how a little business expertise and a few billion dollars can turn a company around. Wireless carrier Nextel Communications Inc. (McLean, Va.) is living proof. It's not that Nextel is making truckloads of money. The carrier is still hurting, and last month it saw its third-quarter losses increase by 50 percent, to $442 million, due largely to preferred stock dividends, one-off losses on interest rate hedging and setbacks on international operations. However, it also reported a positive operating cash flow on domestic operations during the quarter, which it claims is a first, not just for Nextel but for any digital wireless operator in the Western Hemisphere.
Impressed? The gains are even more astounding when you consider Nextel's stormy (and brief) history. The carrier made a sensational splash on Wall Street in the early 1990s by raising more than $100 million on an initial public offering. With cash in hand, it then set off with an aggressive plan to buy old analog radio dispatch systems-called specialized mobile radio (SMR)-and replace them with a national digital or enhanced SMR network.
The idea sounded great. Nextel snapped up mom-and-pops as well as bigger SMRs all over the country. But everything began to unravel when Nextel discovered the digital technology it bought from Motorola Inc., called integrated digital enhanced network, didn't work. Nextel bled money and seemed near collapse in 1994 when Craig McCaw, of McCaw Cellular Communications Inc. (Kirkland, Wash.) fame, stepped in. He brought in cash-$600 million immediately with a promise of more than $400 million more-and started supplying aggressive new managers. This helped relieve Nextel's founders, Washington, D.C., lawyers Morgan O'Brien and Brian McAuley, of running the company. The new managers immediately began revising the company's strategy. Nextel, in effect, gave up on the residential market to go after business customers through a series of pricing and service packages geared to their needs.
The shift paid off. In the last two years Nextel has become one of the country's fastest-growing wireless operators. At the end of the third quarter, it had more than 2.4 million digital units in service, up from 1.27 million at the end of 1997, 300,300 in 1996 and 85,000 in 1995. "It will have 2.5 million at the end of the fourth quarter and more than 4.3 million customers at the end of 1999," says Chris Larsen, a securities analyst at Prudential Securities Inc. (New York). The stretch also includes a growing number of operations in Mexico, South America and Japan, as well as a move to eventually offer landline services over a new fiber optic network.
At this rate, Larsen says, Nextel services will produce $1.85 billion revenue in 1998 and $3.1 billion in 1999. That's a steep rise from the $712 million recorded in 1997. This type of growth means Nextel is poised to record positive cash flows through the next quarter and all of next year, says Larsen. It's still expected to post a $225 million operating loss this year, but Larsen says these rising revenues should help it report a profit of more than $500 million next year in terms of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).
Technological Top Guns The turnaround certainly began with McCaw's investment, which currently gives him and his family about 23 percent of the stock. More important, however, may have been his ability in 1996 to lure in Daniel Akerson as chairman and Timothy M. Donahue as president and chief operating officer. Akerson was formerly president of MCI Communications Corp.; Donahue was an executive at McCaw Cellular and later AT&T Wireless Services Inc. (Kirkland, Wash.) after AT&T bought McCaw Cellular for $12 billion.
"The first hurdle was to fix the technology," Donahue says. "The idea was brilliant, but the execution was lousy. Having Craig McCaw associated with Nextel, we could talk to the highest levels of Motorola and put some influence into fixing the technology. Motorola did it."
Then there was the money side. Not even McCaw is rich enough to foot all the bills. "We have been very successful at raising capital," Donahue says in an apparent understatement. Through a combination of bond and preferred stock offerings, Nextel raised $2.1 billion in 1997 and another $1.8 billion in 1998. In March 1998 it replaced an old $2 billion bank line of credit with a $3 billion line. Yet the influx hasn't guaranteed success. At the end of 1997, Nextel had an accumulated deficit, or accumulated losses, of $2.7 billion.
The money hasn't been sitting by idly, either. Capital expenditures jumped to $1.6 billion last year, an almost 400 percent increase from 1996. This year they'll be off a little but still substantial at $1.3 billion. "We built 2,200 cell sites this year and will have 6,000 sites at the end of the year," Donahue says. More outlays are expected, although Donahue admits Nextel is still looking for capital to finance network construction and expansion.
Money, investments and technology improvements aren't the only factors buoying Nextel. Focusing on the business market has also helped. This was spurred on by precedent-setting service and pricing introductions, like the elimination of roaming charges and a change in the rate structure that allows charges to be billed by the second after the first minute, instead of rounding up to the next minute. Nextel's business-focused services also include short messaging and direct connect, a two-way conferencing and group calling option that only SMRs can offer. Nextel has even introduced a new slimline phone aimed at white-collar businessmen, the i1000.
Direct connect's capability to handle traditional wireless calls and data transmission in the same handset is one of Nextel's strongest features, says Patrick Sweeney, president of The Bishop Co. (Kalamazoo, Mich.), which recently published a study of the wireless data operations. Sending data over the airwaves is critical for emergency services, such as police, and important for field technicians and salesmen, Sweeney says.
Outside the United States, Nextel plans to offer roaming-free communications for customers who travel in Canada through its partner, Clearnet Communications (Scarborough, Ontario), and in Mexico through Comunicaciones Nextel de Mexico (Mexico City), which it owns, Donahue says.
Free roaming and the other services are doing more than just drawing in customers. They are helping to hold them. Larsen says Nextel has one of the lowest churn rates in the wireless industry, about 1.6 percent, compared to 2.5 percent for the rest of the industry.
On a broader front, Nextlink Communications Inc. (Bellevue, Wash.), another McCaw company, and Eagle River Investments LLC (Bellevue, Wash.) have formed Internext LLC (Bellevue, Wash.) and agreed to spend $700 million to help Level 3 Communications Inc. (Omaha, Neb.) build its national fiber network. In return, Internext gets 24 fibers and one empty conduit. Donahue says Nextel will use the facility to connect its switches, cut costs and possibly offer wireline long-distance services. It's the kind of expansion that might just push Nextel over the edge-into profitability.
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