To: Biotech Jim who wrote (141 ) 11/29/1998 3:18:00 PM From: scaram(o)uche Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1475
BJ: Back from Thanksgiving at Tahoe. Not much snow, but very pretty and refreshing. I'm going to answer your post and PB's in several parts, to keep any one part from getting too long. First, "why have I invested in BTRN and why do I continue to buy on retreats?" The company is very conservative in communications. I know nada beyond what is in 10K/10Q, recent releases, etc. I will keep some of the stuff that I focus on close to the vest, however. The market cap is currently $16M. At the end of last quarter, they had $19M in cash. The burn (12.5M) is high relative to cash in-hand, so one needs to keep current sentiment in mind. Why is the market cap:cash ratio 1? The company is orphaned. Nobody follows it. So..... number one reason that I've invested..... a favorable cash position relative to market cap. MEDI-507 (anti-CD2) is just icing on the cake for me, not the primary reason that I've invested. Their central business is transplantation. I had a friend that carried an allogeneic kidney for years through a productive life. He faced crisis after crisis, and eventually died with two young children. Fortunately, he had foresight and the kids' mom is strong and independent. I'm certain that many of us know of someone in a similar position, and we'd know of more if there was a sufficient number of reasonably matched cadaveric donors. The cost to society of maintaining transplant candidates on dialysis and subsequently suppressing the immunity of those lucky enough to find a kidney (heart, lung, pancreas, liver, etc.) is enormous. Maintenance dialysis, U.S. only, costs about $6 billion per year. We are talking enormous socioeconomic benefit. Then there's the transplanted patients....... the cost of transplants in the U.S. and Europe are estimated at north of $5 billion per year. The existing markets are huge, and XenoMune would only expand access to needed organs. The punchline.... no company in the world, IMO, has a handle on these issues like BTRN does. David Sachs is one of my scientific heroes. He has been innovative and consistent for 30 years. I couldn't respect him more. Together with Megan Sykes and others, he has built a scientific powerhouse, the Transplantation Biology Research Center at MGH. For the AlloMune and XenoMune programs, MEDI-507 is used at depleting concentrations. That is, it is used as an inexpensive and consistent replacement for anti-thymocyte globulin. The XenoMune program is funded by Novartis. To answer an earlier posit by poodle, the funding bears on resemblance to a loan. Under certain favorable circumstances, the research funding would be repaid from product sales. No biggie, and only a plus. The AlloMune program has now received an OK for the IND, and the first transplants should occur within within Q1 '99. The procedures are extreme relative to those in current use..... not all transplant centers will transition readily to the creation of bone marrow chimeras, if and when the process is demonstrated to be effective. Thus, penetration would be a painful process. Nonetheless, the AlloMune program is not partnered . The program has been taken forward independently. OK, more later on anti-CD2. However, there's no comparable data compared to that of Kirk et al. for CTLA4-Ig/anti-CD40L, as the epitope recognized by 507 is not expressed on rhesus cells.... it is expressed only on human, chimp and gorilla, and it therefore is "straight to human testing" material. Later! Rick