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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dwight vickers who wrote (24565)11/27/1998 1:37:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
Stock options

This has been, is and will be a great problem. It totally distorts the real financial picture of a company's earnings...

The FASB (the independent accounting body authorized to issue accounting standards) tried to deal with this issue a couple of years back. But they were totally derailed by the backlash from the people who are making out big time on this...(high tech executives mostly). So they shelved their plans and went back into some easier to draft standards (and less controversial).

The biggest perpetrator of this stock option manipulation is Microsoft. At the same time this "perk" sure does wonders for the morale and dedication of the employees, no?

I wish the FASB had the guts to pick this issue up again but they won't. The only way they will do it is when the bubble bursts and everyone starts asking questions again...but until then let's enjoy it , it sure is different this time<ggg>

George



To: dwight vickers who wrote (24565)11/29/1998 11:12:00 PM
From: Jack Whitley  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 42771
 
<<Very big issue with companies like MSFT. I saw a report that stated that something like 80% (it's been a while) of MSFT's earnings in 1997 would have been offset by what it cost them to buy shares in the marketplace, to fulfill employee option obligations.>>

The best article regarding this subject appeared in the May 18, 1998 issue of Forbes magazine, pp 212 "Stock Options Are Not A Free Lunch". Excellent article and excellent chart showing companies that have option allocations greater than 25% of their shares outstanding. The top five -

Option Allocation as a percent of Total Outstanding Shares

Company Total Allocation* 96-97 grant

Delta Air Lines 55.47% 1.24%
Merrill Lynch 53.95 6.44
Morgan Stanley 51.22 3.87
Microsoft 44.83 4.45
Bankers Trust 43.09 8.79

* Percent of weighted average shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis.
Source - Pearl Meyer & Partners

Novell is not in the top 14 on the chart (thankfully), with the 14th place company having 25.57% of shares outstanding allocated to options. It would be interesting to know what the exact percentage allocated to options for Novell outstanding shares is.

This investment has turned out to be one of the most satisfying I have ever made. I've been posting here (and buying shares) for 2 1/2 years, even in the face of forecasts of doom from the supposed tech savvy. I hung in there due to the posts of the REALLY tech savvy who helped me decide how and why Novell would ultimately succeed, and now I am making an almost indecent amount of money. As far as uses of cash go, buying back shares makes the most sense to me. If some of the buyback winds up being a wash, so be it, as long as the ultimate reason for issuing the options is to hire and keep talent that will standardize the Internet directory platform on NDS and SCADS (and related applications). If that happens, they can issue a lot of options, and still have a soaring stock price.

jww