To: Jerry Olson who wrote (10451 ) 11/29/1998 12:01:00 AM From: Tigress Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34809
OJ & All Nut Fans ~ Re: EGGS & MCOM Beware ~ The following is hot off the press at TheStreet.com site: Silicon Saturday: Egghead.com, Cytyc, Metricom By Laure Edwards Special to TheStreet.com 11/28/98 12:15 AM ET A selection of some of the most intriguing tech stock ideas on the Web. The items presented do not represent the views of TheStreet.com; rather, the collection is offered as a service to our members who may be scanning the Web for stock-related information. Egghead.com Steve Harmon (11/23) Egghead.com (EGGS:Nasdaq) has made the transition from brick and mortar to virtual space, but it has yet to produce any golden eggs, says Internet stock analyst Steve Harmon. Egghead's loss for its latest quarter rose to $7.2 million from $4.9 million in the year-ago period, reflecting its "startup-like" status in converting to a virtual retailer. Harmon forecasts 1999 revenue of $195 million (vs. $140 million for 1998), in which case the stock trades at about 1.6 times next year's revenues vs. a multiple of 5 to 10 for other Internet retailers. Harmon is not as enthusiastic about the company's bid to sell noncomputer and nonsoftware items, such as sporting goods. "We applaud Egghead's move to ... Internet commerce," says Harmon, "but give it a thumbs down on trying to be a general purpose e-tailer." More information can be found at: www.internetnews.com Cytyc Online Investor (11/23) Cytyc's (CYTC:Nasdaq) ThinPrep Pap Test is significantly more effective than conventional pap smears in screening for cervical cancer, according to the Food and Drug Administration. The product is a "potential blockbuster," says Online Investor, although it has been a long and bumpy road to acceptance among insurance companies. Last month, the company reported that 103 insurance companies cover ThinPrep's use, so progress is being made. The company also reported strong third-quarter earnings; sales were $12.3 million vs. $7 million a year earlier. Full-year sales next year are forecast to be between $75 million and $100 million. If revenues continue to rise at that rate, "Cytec's profits should soar," says Online Investor. Gross margins on the company's disposable products are around 75% to 80%. ThinPrep could ultimately be worth $300 million to $500 million a year in revenues, a potential gold mine for a firm with a current market cap of less than $300 million, says Online Investor. More information can be found at: fnews.yahoo.com Metricom Adam Lashinsky (11/20) Metricom (MCOM:Nasdaq) is a provider of wireless Internet service with nationwide ambitions. Currently, though, its service reaches only the San Francisco Bay area, Washington, D.C., Seattle and several airports. Billionaire investor Paul Allen has invested heavily in the company, but San Jose Mercury News columnist Adam Lashinsky advises this is not one of those opportunities where it pays to invest on the heels of big money. The company is running out of operating cash, says Lashinsky, and has engaged NationsBanc Montgomery Securities to find it a strategic partner. This is tantamount to putting the company up for sale, he says, though Metricom CEO Timothy Dreisbach says it's not so. The management team simply doesn't have the time to evaluate potential partners, he says. Metricom stock, which traded above 18 late last year, is now at 7 1/2. He also warns that Metricom's need for more money is "likely to dilute the interests of current shareholders." More information can be found at: fnews.yahoo.com