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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (23590)11/29/1998 4:40:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 116753
 
' 60 MINUTES TO COVER Y2K

Right on the heels of the big Dr. Kevorkian show, 60 minutes is
reportedly hotly pursuing a story on Y2K. Will they play on the fear,
or will they sulk in denial? Or perhaps, will they present a balanced
picture of what's really going on? Find out on Sunday's 60 Minutes.

JAPAN: ZERO

NO, IT'S NOT A FIGHTER AIRPLANE, IT'S JAPAN'S Y2K
SCORE It a bombshell revelation, just made public yesterday, Japan
has admitted the following:

(Percent of companies having completed testing of critical systems)

0% of Japan's power companies
0% of Japan's gas utilities
0% of Japan's oil companies
0% of Japan's aviation companies
19% of Japan's banks

These are not encouraging scores. In fact, the situation is bleak. We
are approaching December of 1998, leaving a year for the *final*
phase of Y2K remediation: implementation. And yet these Japanese
companies haven't even completed the repair phase.

Now you understand why John Koskinen brags the United States is
well ahead of Japan. Frankly, almost *everybody* is ahead of Japan
when it comes to Y2K compliance. Only China and Russia are further
behind, and for Russia, that's simply because they've proclaimed they
will make absolutely zero effort to fix the bug (they'd rather just wait to
see what happens).

Ever wonder what will happen if the lights go off in Japan? Think
about it: no electricity, no oil, no gas, a few banks... an economy
already in a near-Depression, a lagging real estate market, a
still-crashed stock market hovering around 14,000 (it used to be at
39,000). PLUS the fact that Japan is the most urban country on the
planet: a higher percentage of the population lives in cities in Japan
than in any other country in the world, and if you've been studying
Y2K, you already know the cities are death zones if infrastructure is
lost.

Bottom line: earthquakes are going to be the last thing on their minds if
Japan doesn't get some infrastructure up and running on January 1,
2000. No power means no city. And right now, things don't look so
good for Tokyo.

Click here for entire story.

DENMARK BANK BEGINS HOARDING CASH (Why don't
you?)

Denmark's state Central Bank has begun stockpiling cash in an effort
to convince customers that *customer* stockpiling is not necessary.
This report says, "We want people to know that we have enough
notes so there is no reason to start hoarding."

Denmark is doing this by slowing the destruction of bank notes. This is
one of the strategies that could be pursued by the Federal Reserve if
increased demand nails U.S. banks. But the Fed has also increased
their order for additional cash, something Denmark apparently doesn't
plan to do. Furthermore, U.S. banks are ramping up a huge public
relations machine to convince banking customers they don't actually
need to access their own money. The name-calling game has already
begun, and the FDIC, as reported here over the last few days, is even
now attempting to use the fear of criminal investigation to discourage
the withdrawing of cash.

Will these methods work? At this point, the argument is becoming
moot. Even if banks don't experience cash runs, the trust between the
banks and the public is being obliterated. And it is precisely *trust*
that keeps the fractional reserve system going.

Whether bank runs occur or not, expect some major changes in the
banking industry on the other side of 2000.

Click here for entire story.

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