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To: Valueman who wrote (4934)12/1/1998 1:16:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10852
 
Hi Valueman:

The Pioneer study is slightly misleading because it
uses the number of subscribers as its metric. Keep
in mind that more than half of the telecom dollars
spent in the US is spent by businesses (probably
more if one lumps datacom and telecom). Cable is unlikely
to make much of a dent in the business market. For
large office buildings, fiber will ultimately dominate.
For mid-size buildings, we are likely to see a mix of
terrestrial wireless and FTTC/VDSL usage. Satellites
have a long, long way to go in the business market.
By the time broadband data by satellites becomes
available, the business market may be well covered.

So the numbers may be right for the residential market,
but this market tells less than half of the story.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy