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Strategies & Market Trends : Point and Figure Charting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (10619)12/2/1998 5:54:00 AM
From: Bwe  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 34809
 
JXM and Judy,

Your read of DIS was right on the money and I always enjoy your p&f analysis. I wanted to add my two cents with regard to trendlines, a vertical count po, and a suggestion of a potential Bearish Signal Reversal that is shaping up in a modified fashion. By the way, my family went to see "A Bug's Life" this Saturday and we loved it. While I would call "Toy Story", the first Pixar/Disney collaboration a **** classic, "Bug's Life" is a *** 1/2 family classic and a movie that has a ton of heart. This movie is going to have legs and is going to make a ton of money.
The Bearish Resistance Line (BRL) for DIS is at $35. A Bullish Resistance Line (brl) is at $36. A classic Bearish Signal Reversed pattern requires 7 columns to complete and breaks the previous tops in the final column. At $29 for the first move in November, DIS had a 5 column Bearish Signal Reversed modified pattern. DIS broke the Short Term Downtrend Line (STDL) and the stock made a good move to $33. This provides another example of how revised trendlines can get you into a stock sooner and can indicate a trend change earlier than a break of the conventional trendlines.
A broken brl at $31 looks like it can provide good support and I like the way Disney's chart is shaping up. The BRL has been in charge of the chart since the July, $40 top, and the BRL needs to be broken to establish a new uptrend. A buyer between $28 - $31, a range where I believe it's OK to begin or add to an existing position, would buy on the belief that the BRL is going to be taken out and a new uptrend is going to resume. AS Jori pointed out, the fundamental news from their movie division is quite bullish and could add to DIS' bottom line in a meaningful way. A High Pole would occur on a reversal to $27, and would call into question the recent bullish chart action. The more patient approach would be to wait until the BRL break to take a position in the stock.
Judy, I'd be most interested in your approach to DIS from a longer term perspective.

Take care,
Bruce



To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (10619)12/2/1998 2:04:00 PM
From: The Phoenix  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34809
 
Tom,

ANET pop today. What the heck is up over there.....???? Did you dump your position???? Hope so. It now looks like something is really up. I'm going off to check...

OG