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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (34758)	12/1/1998 10:41:00 PM
From: Lucretius	Respond to of 94695

they already have started fleeing: decisionpoint.com why do you think the debt mkt stopped functioning until Uncle Al started running the presses. L-T result of his knee jerk reaction is to accelerate the the foreigners thru the exit signs.

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (34758)	12/2/1998 8:21:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

This is only part of the story, BA layoffs are the tip of the iceberg IMHO. Do you know how much semiconductors or high tech parts or aluminium goes into an airplane?? Or in other words, the amount of US paid working hours?? I remember the last downturn in airplanes markets. I was trying to finance a sale leaseback of an DC-10 for a SE Asia country, the price of the plane was falling around $1 million per 10 days or so. It started with around $30 million and several months later I gave up at $14 million. BTW speaking of asset deflation, it is not only stocks <GGG> BWDIK Haim

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (34758)	12/2/1998 8:40:00 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

When they start pulling this money, if they do, and with the U S savings rates the way they are, Monty, The question would be where would they put all of that money?? Europe?? Could be, but they have their own problems trying to stabilize currency in anticipation of the EMU. Japan?? Just to attract 0.25% interest rates? (In some places negative rates) Brazil?? naaaahhh..... Russia?? Wouldn't be prudent.... Gold?? Hmmmm..... But aren't the central bankers selling gold in a vain attempt to keep a lid on the price (and thus maintain the perception of economic health) When the fur flies, there will be nowhere to hide except precious metals. Until then, I can't see them going anywhere when things can still get so much worse internationally after the US gets hit. I mean, who are these guys planning on selling the goods and commodities to?? But some good points have been made all around. Regards, Ron