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To: Alex who wrote (23716)12/2/1998 6:08:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116756
 
Full story
FOCUS-Palestinian attack draws Israeli
ultimatum
05:03 p.m Dec 02, 1998 Eastern

By Danny Gur-arieh

JERUSALEM, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Israel served
Palestinians an ultimatum on Wednesday that could
scuttle implementation of the latest Middle East peace
deal after a Palestinian mob assaulted two Israelis in
the West Bank.

A government statement said Israel would cede no
more land to the Palestinian Authority until its leaders
promised not to declare a Palestinian state in the West
Bank and Gaza Strip next year.

The statement, issued after Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu consulted members of his security cabinet,
also said Palestinians must agree to Israel's terms for
the release of prisoners from Israeli jails.

''Israel will carry out the next stage of the withdrawal
only if...the Palestinian Authority announces clearly
that it is abandoning its intention to unilaterally declare
a Palestinian state,'' the statement said.

Israel agreed in an accord signed in Washington in
October to hand over another 13 percent of the West
Bank in three stages. It was already carried out the
first stage.

The language was the toughest Israel has used since
the Wye accord was reached. Palestinians quickly
rejected the ultimatum.

''This is completely unacceptable,'' said top
Palestinian peace negotiator Saeb Erekat.

He told Reuters he had asked for intervention by the
United States, which has mediated in
Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking, ''to stop this Israeli
policy of preconditions.''

The attack on the two Israelis, a soldier and a civilian,
took place near Ramallah during a student protest
against the detention by Israel of Palestinian political
prisoners.

Dozens of Palestinians pelted their car with stones
when the Israelis drove past the site of the protest,
shattering the windows and forcing the vehicle to a
halt.

The civilian fled as the mob closed in on the car.
Palestinians pulled the soldier from the vehicle,
grabbed his rifle and beat and kicked him while he
crouched on the ground. He sustained a slight head
injury.

Palestinian security officials later traced the gun and
returned it to Israel.

Netanyahu's communications chief David Bar-Illan
said the violence was ''instigated by the Palestinian
Authority,'' pointing to remarks by top Palestinian
officials calling for confrontation with Israel.

The fate of Palestinian ''political prisoners'' has been
at the centre of Israeli-Palestinian wrangling since the
Wye deal was signed.

Israel agreed at the talks to free 750 Palestinians in
three stages but terms of the release were not
included in the agreement nor in accompanying letters.

Palestinians say those released must be political
prisoners -- Palestinians jailed for fighting against
Israeli occupation in the West Bank and Gaza Strip,
including members of the Islamic militant Hamas
group.

''Israel will carry out the next stage of the withdrawal
only if the Palestinian Authority makes clear that it is
committed to the agreement reached at Wye based
on which prisoners with blood on their hands will not
be released nor will Hamas members,'' said the
government statement.

Israel freed the first 250 prisoners last month but
angered Palestinians by including 150 common
criminals.

Bar-Illan said earlier that Netanyahu had written to
U.S. President Bill Clinton on November 30 citing
''major areas of violations'' by Palestinians of the
peace deal.

He said the letter accused Arafat of violating
undertakings to negotiate a permanent peace by
saying he would unilaterally declare an independent
state when the period set for Israelis and Palestinians
to negotiate that deal expires on May 4, 1999.

In East Jerusalem, hundreds of Palestinians clashed
with Israeli police during the funeral of a 41-year-old
Palestinian stabbed to death earlier in the day in an
attack police said may have been the work of a
Jewish serial killer.

Witnesses said Israeli forces responded to a hail of
stones with teargas and rubber-coated bullets.
Several people were wounded in the violence,
including two television cameramen.

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited.



To: Alex who wrote (23716)12/2/1998 7:29:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116756
 

IMF admits controls could be a
bulwark

By Joanne Gray, Washington

A chink has appeared in the once impermeable armour of
the International Monetary Fund. It has conceded that
controls on short-term capital flows can be useful,
contradicting the policy stance of the United States, its
most influential member.

The IMF's assistant research director, Mr Charles
Adams, said at an IMF seminar in Washington that there
was "a case" for "Chilean-type taxes on short-term
capital inflows" because the financial sectors in many
emerging economies were not strong enough to withstand
massive capital withdrawals.

However, he said such controls should be part of
broader measures aimed at strengthening prudential
regulation, liquidity and risk management.

"Against that background a Chilean-type tax may play
some role," Mr Adams said.

But he added that there would be strong incentive to
avoid such a tax.

Mr Adams' comments also back a recent IMF study
which concluded that a tax on short-term capital flows
could prevent bank runs, and through this channel, could
increase the expected returns of investing in emerging
markets.

The enormous costs of the economic crisis in Asia have
caused a sustained bout of navel-gazing at the IMF. It
appears to have accepted some responsibility for
worsening the crisis by imposing excessively deflationary
monetary and fiscal regimes on the stricken countries,
whose economies have plunged into recession.

The IMF relaxed its strict adherence to tough fiscal and
monetary regimes in subsequent rescue negotiations.

The World Bank has already concluded that taxes on
short-term capital inflows may reduce the risk of financial
crises, and a growing number of advocates in Australia,
(including Reserve Bank governor Mr Ian Macfarlane),
Japan and France argue that such controls would be
useful.

The US however, has not ceded any ground on the issue.
The Treasury Secretary, Mr Robert Rubin, said in
October that capital controls were not the remedy for the
financial crisis.

But a recent IMF working paper found that by imposing
a tax on short-term capital inflows, a government could
prevents bank runs, thereby reducing the costs of
withdrawing from emerging markets. It assumed a tax
that was inversely proportional to the length of the stay of
the inflow.

"A large international bank is more prone to invest in any
particular emerging market if it knows the liquidity
conditions in that market do not create obstacles to
eventual disinvestment," the study found.

Such a tax could reduce the vulnerability of an emerging
market to financial crises, increase the total volume of
funds entering the country and improve the expected
returns of investments, it found.

At the IMF seminar Mr Adams said that as the crisis
evolved and spread to Russia and threatened to embrace
Latin America as well, an important question was being
asked.

"Are there features of the system . . . that contribute to
the difficulties over and above the problems of individual
countries? This questioning is part of this process of
trying to prescribe cures.

"What we have at the moment is a system in which many
emerging markets have begun to participate in
international capital markets. We have simultaneously
some very mature, sophisticated financial markets, strong
financial infrastructures, strong financial systems.

"In an ideal world one might have imagined one would
perhaps have seen less capital flow into some of these
emerging markets, given all the problems that have
subsequently been noted," Mr Adams said.

"But capital did flow. So we got ourselves into a system
where we had the flows of capital before we had all the
supporting infrastructure and financial strength, and
perhaps before it was possible for this capital to be
digested efficiently. So we had a problem there. We
didn't have all the elements of crisis management there."
afr.com.au