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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RGinPG who wrote (32353)12/2/1998 12:36:00 PM
From: marc chatman  Respond to of 95453
 
I think it was the CEO of XON in an interview the other day who was asked about any plans to buy a service company, and I believe the answer was an emphatic "NO."

I just don't see the advantages to buying a driller. The typical result is that the "in house" driller becomes less efficient due to a lack of competition; the integrated oil company can't really use outside drillers who may be more proficient and cost effective; in addition to being a slave to one commodity (oil), they become slave to a second (rigs) -- o.k., maybe rigs aren't exactly a commodity, but the laws of supply and demand work the same.

I'm just looking at this from a common sense perspective and applying what I've seen in other businesses. Perhaps one of the oil industry guys here has a different perspective.




To: RGinPG who wrote (32353)12/2/1998 1:14:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
The real risk of bankruptcy for some is a good reason to buy only the strongest players when the technicals turn up. Charles Maxwell has a big following and when he talks about $8 oil a lot of institutions will believe him.

BTW, I really do believe this is the final shakeout. But absent some dramatic moves to hike oil prices, I look for just a modest rally once the lows are in followed by an extended base building period. Moves coming off a major base are much more reliable than V bottoms. Experience shows that sharp rallies off V bottoms in this sector are extremely risky to chase.



To: RGinPG who wrote (32353)12/2/1998 5:36:00 PM
From: VLAD  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Good question. I often wonder about the same thing myself. Wouldn't owning their own drilling services make these big oil companies truely "integrated" and wouldn't it guarantee them fixed costs on the exploration/drilling expenses?