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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony who wrote (19659)12/2/1998 2:39:00 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 77400
 
I am talking about short term like where CSCO will be in a month or two with relative of where the general market is heading.
I don't think Cisco will be at a PE higher than present, and hold it for the next quarter. It may hold 85 by march. Over the next year we will hit and hold 100, it may go higher, but I believe it will back off if it does



To: Anthony who wrote (19659)12/2/1998 4:25:00 PM
From: Hagar  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 77400
 
To all,

Because its so quiet here and in light of Cisco's latest acquisition, I have an item for discussion. I preface this by saying I am fairly ignorant with respect to the issue. I read some time ago a set of articles (don't have a reference) questioning the reported earnings of companies that take a lot of charges, specific references were Lucent and Cisco.

First, stock prices through some function reflect past, present, future earnings of a company.

Second, charges taken against earnings through acquisitions for R&D in progress knowingly dilute the earnings.

Third, earnings received in the future from that R&D are reported unencumbered by the charges.

Has Cisco mastered this? Wall street has come to expect these charges routinely and does not penalize the company for taking them. Do the unencumbered earnings mask the real health of the acquisition? Does consistently doing this allow Cisco to keep the earnings picture smooth and predictable? If this is a "little smoke and mirrors" does the true bill ever come due?

I only pose the questions, I have no bias for or against Cisco. I'm just an engineer trying to carve out a piece of the pie.