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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (19675)12/4/1998 1:58:00 AM
From: Jeffrey Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Cisco

An excerpt from Argus Independent Equity Research's "Action
Facts AM" for Friday, December 4, 1998. (Disclaimer - I
receive these twice a day. As it covered CSCO, I thought
you all would appreciate the post of a recent "opinion"
or as a source of info. NOT attempting to vouch for
Argus's accuracy or reliability. I am long CSCO and
have been for the past two years.)

Excerpt:

We are boosting the 12-month target price on the CSCO shares
of Cisco Systems to $100. We are raising our EPS estimates
to $1.54 from $1.53 for the current fiscal 1999 and to $1.95
from $1.93 for fiscal 2000. While the CSCO shares are
trading at a premium valuation to the market on a forward
P/E basis, we believe that the stock justifies this valuation
because the company is very well positioned to benefit from
the rapid growth of data and Internet-based communications
over the public carrier networks. We believe that the
company can maintain sales and earnings growth rate in the
30-40% range. We see Cisco gaining market share because
of its technical expertise, its ability to provide complete
solutions and its desire to out hustle competitors to gain
new contracts.

Cisco, which is featured in the Argus Portfolio Selector,
provides many crucial hardware, software and connective
components for the Internet. The company's products enable
computer networks to connect with each other so that
corporate customers can communicate with their suppliers
and customers. These products also extend the corporate
network to more remote parties such as sales people on
the road and telecommuters.

From just $69 million in sales in 1990, the year of the
company's initial public offering, Cisco has zoomed to
nearly $8.5 billion in 1998 and established dominant market
shares in the corporate and enterprise networking industry.
Now it is taking this data networking expertise to invade
the telecom world, which is moving to converge voice, data
and video traffic to digital networks. This route will
put Cisco on a collision course with telecom giants such
as Lucent, Nortel and Alcatel. While these competitors
are bigger than Cisco, the convergence to a digital
network plays squarely to Cisco's strength in data net-
working. We are not predicting who will win this battle,
but we do point out that the telecom data market, which
is estimated to grow to some $140 billion by 2002,
represents a much bigger opportunity than the enterprise
networking market.

The need of the telcos to increase digital capacity will
drive domestic sales for Cisco. Besides the U.S., sales
to a deregulated European market will provide an additional
engine for sales expansion. Deregulation on the Continent
is spurring the emergence of new service providers that
want the most up-to-date communications equipment and
systems. In fiscal 1998, sales to European customers
jumped an impressive 475%. The company is aggressively
hiring engineers and sales staff to maintain product
deliveries and selling and marketing efforts. The BUY-
rated CSCO shares traded late Thursday at $78-7/16, up 3/16.

JL