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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (194)	12/3/1998 6:32:00 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 99985

Three of the last four pre-quarter periods (December, March, June, September) have witnessed sell-offs. An indication of earnings difficulties being factored into prices prior to reports. The internets have tended to lead into the earnings reports and follow-through afterwards followed by a one-third to one-half sell-off.

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (194)	12/3/1998 8:18:00 PM
From: Patrick Slevin	Respond to of 99985

You know, George, I don't think October deserves the rap it has as most years when October blows out the real decline started in August or September. Of course I am off the cuff with that as with the following, as I am only relying on memory. The second part of that is that typically the most bullish period is from November 1 to May 1. In effect, we could fall like a stone for months but recover and gain by May 1 and it would still fit the long term "seasonality", that November 1 to May 1 is bullish. Of course at any point in time when we are living through this it won't seem the same as it will from a historical perspective but for my own part I think there will be a buy in here somewhere. If I figure it out I'll let ya know.