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Gold/Mining/Energy : Global Platinum & Gold (GPGI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (8726)	12/4/1998 8:42:00 PM
From: J.E.Currie	Respond to of 14226

Date: Fri Dec 04 1998 19:53 LazloT (Reprinted from The Spotlight) ID#316200: Copyright © 1998 LazloT/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved Wall Street's Golden Egg Is Scrambled Borrowing gold dirt cheap, a leading hedge fund used the gold to finance its investments. Then the house of cards came tumbling down. Exclusive to the Spotlight -- By Martin Mann New York City, New York - The White House is quietly assembling a task force of federal investigators to look into reports that a back-room syndicate of Wall Street's largest banks and hedge funds has been engaged in vast and risky speculative maneuvers that involved, among other tactics, rigging the market value and global supply of gold. This vital precious metal has been bought and sold for more than a year in large quantities at unnaturally low and stagnant price levels in both of the world's principal gold trading centers, London and New York, sources noted. When Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan engineered an emergency bailout worth billions last September for a foundering East Coast hedge fund, known as Long Term Capital Management ( LTCM ) , regulators found that this private investment firm had assumed large hidden trading positions in gold. That was a disturbing discovery, sources say. LTCM was known for wheeling and dealing in the securities and currency markets, but not in commodities. “They made enormous bets on stocks, bonds and even Asian currencies,” says veteran financial analyst Ron Welker. “When they suddenly went bust in late August, they were in danger of defaulting on speculative forward contracts worth a staggering $200 billion. But gold was never supposed to be part of LTCM's portfolio. “LTCM used gold merely as an instrument to finance its gambles,” says Welker. “They found that they could borrow gold in any quantity at dirt-cheap interest rates, often amounting to no more that one and one-half percent. They immediately sold their borrowed bullion, and thus acquired funding on which they paid only minimal interest, far below the prevailing loan rates.” There was a catch, of course. “Gold prices had to be kept stagnant, otherwise LTCM would have incurred a loss, instead of a profit, when its gold-borrowing contracts expired and it had to buy back the bullion it had sold in order to return it to the lenders,” Welker explained. But LTCM was not alone in making mammoth speculative bets in the financial markets, regulators found. “Wall Street's largest commercial and investment banks are increasingly acting like hedge funds themselves,” says Tracy Corrigan, who covers U.S. money markets for The Financial Times, the prestigious business daily based in England. Behind the scenes were the Rockefeller dynasty's flagship, Chase Manhattan conglomerate, Citigroup, the largest U.S. financial services corporation, and Bankers Trust. They were all found to have turned to the sort of high-risk speculation characteristic of hedge funds. ”They all reported losses running into the billions after LTCM's collapse”, says Welker. “Many of these magabanks were apparently also involved in borrowing and manipulating vast amounts of gold to finance their betting streaks.” SPECULATIVE RAIDS? Was gold used to help fuel the speculative raids that wrecked the economies of half-a-dozen Asian countries last year? A group of regional leaders, led by Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, Malaysia's long-ruling nationalist strongman, wants to know. Moreover, as this issue of The Spotlight went to press, it was learned that at the Clinton White House, a recently formed and mysterious authority known as the President's Working Group on Financial Markets is moving to coordinate its own broad investigation of these speculative excesses that have roiled the worlds financial and commodity markets in recent months.

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (8726)	12/4/1998 9:22:00 PM
From: JACK R. SMITH JR.	Respond to of 14226

Zeev, Inflation is not the problem, quite the contrary! I think that the "rosy" picture in the US will change quite drastically and quite soon. While it is possible that the US could become a self sustaining entity, I rather seriously doubt it. We could just keep our low priced grain and agricultural products, ban the import of foreign steel and tool products, export nothing and import nothing, but then we would have serious inflation without the cheap foreign products. We could send our fine Mexican farm workers home and all starve while argueing over who will pick the fields. Prison labor in the fields, that is my vote!! Lets be real here, the current economic boom is fueled by public and private debt. We as a consumer nation have huge credit card and other debt, huge public debt, and a negative personal savings figure! As long as our plastic holds, we will do fine, but there is one clause in most of those "plastic contracts" that causes a little concern. "Miss a couple of payments and it all becomes due and payable immediately". Why do you think that there is a current move afoot to change the bankruptsy laws? Zeev, my friend, the problem is "huge beyond imagination"! Got to go, somebody is following me, and I lost him, but he just came around the corner! Gone, Jack!!

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (8726)	12/4/1998 10:47:00 PM
From: JACK R. SMITH JR.	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 14226

Zeev, My thought here relative to the oils is that Texaco should have some momentum in the present merger scenario and perhaps represents a good buy in this market at this time. Oil is crap, but we have the merger thing going on, and give me your thought and your excellent analysis on that! My chart says TX is a buy for a run of at least 3.5-4 points!! Scared and running, Jack!!