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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (21740)	12/4/1998 9:58:00 AM
From: coug	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 50167

IQ, There is something I can not get through my head.. Is why some people believe that increasing productivity creates such a wonderful economic environment,FOREVER. It is a two-edged sword in the long run.. it produces low cost goods on one side,, but on the other side,it produces too many goods too fast.. and that might be the sharpest side of all.. Eqilibrium is lost.. We are in the waning stage of the Goldilocks stage, IMO, and the bears are about ready to burst through the door.. Why? because this greatly increased producivity has created more porridge than we can eat for awhile.. We have to layoff the cooks, BA started to, K did, J&J, etc. Thats OK, unless you are a cook, But the Cooks have already spent their money, spent borrowed money and maybe nobody is going loan them any more.. Unless someone steps in and gives them money,, like in government printing presses. I do not if we repealed the business cycle, maybe we have..But it seems to me that through out our econmic history, we humans, have always been able to produce more than we can consume.. and a time comes when we have to sit back and let that excess work itself off.. Thanks for your time and space.... the Coug... laying back and waiting..

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (21740)	12/4/1998 12:53:00 PM
From: Mark Fowler	Respond to of 50167

I just noticed markets on globex rebounding decently making a SOX second close above 330 a good possibility.. The employment number will help if it shows continued strngth always seasonally it is a good number..<< So far it Looks like it worked. I'm watching BKX and BVSP too. I thought the sell off was over done in Brazil yesterday. So far not much of a rally back today. I will think we have with continued numbers like this a good possibility that the 5 years money which is lower than short term funds creep back up as rates can be cut at nearer end don't forget that we will soon have the benefit of reporting inflation better it is estimated that inflation figures now available are already reported a full percent higher.. << At this time I would assume that would help push longer term rates up . IQBAl, i noticed you have got to have good tracking records for all these economic numbers do you have some links where i can go and look at charts and numbers back 10 to 15 yrs. for GDP aggregates, interest rates, money supply. I'd like to track the business cycle better or is there software i can purchase for this? Thanks again