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Biotech / Medical : Merck -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Anthony Wong who wrote (1072)12/8/1998 4:59:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Respond to of 1580
 
Analysts Hope Merck Will Release More Details About Upcoming Drugs
December 08, 1998 4:15 PM

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- Merck & Co.'s stock has rallied in the past
few weeks in part because of investor anticipation about the drug giant's
annual business briefing Wednesday, analysts said.

Information about Merck's development pipeline is at the top of the list for
analysts attending the meeting at the company's headquarters in
Whitehouse Station, N.J. Merck has several key drugs that go off patent
in 2000 and 2001, and some investors have voiced concern about how
the company will sustain growth in lieu of this.

"The expectations for this meeting are very high," said HKS & Co.
analyst Hemant Shah, who said the company has typically conducted
positive annual meetings for securities analysts.

"We'd like to certainly see an update on some products where there's not
a whole lot of data available," said CIBC Oppenheimer Corp. analyst
Mara Goldstein. "Certainly, there's a lot of anticipation on Vioxx," she
said. The potential blockbuster treatment for arthritis and pain was
recently submitted to the Food and Drug Administration for approval.
Vioxx belongs to a class of medicines known as COX-2 inhibitors. They
don't cause the same gastrointestinal side effects as other pain killers
because they spare an enzyme that protects the stomach. The FDA
recently cleared the first drug in that class, Monsanto Co.'s Celebrex.

Upcoming patent expirations include the antacid Pepcid and
hypertension drug Vasotec. Losec, or Prilosec as its known in the U.S.,
is another drug going off patent. The drug is sold through a joint venture
with Astra AB.

Merck has launched several drugs within the last year that aimed to
protect revenue from the upcoming patents expirations, but their
performance has been mixed.

Singulair, a once-a-day tablet to treat chronic asthma in adults and
children, "looks to be off to a good start," said PaineWebber Inc. analyst
Jeffrey Chaffkin. The drug sold $55 million in the third quarter, with $41
million of that coming from the U.S. But sales of Propecia, a tablet
launched in January to treat male pattern hair loss, and Maxalt, used to
treat migraine headaches, have disappointed, analysts said. Sales of the
drugs during the third quarter were $24 million and $15 million,
respectively.

Merck has a reputation among some on Wall Street of being relatively
tight-lipped about early-stage development. At its business briefing last
year, the company announced for the first time that it had conducted
Phase IIa clinical trials for the novel compound MK-869 for depression.
The company said then that Phase IIb trials would begin "shortly."

Analysts said they expect an update on the development of this
compound, along with data on any other developments in the company's
pipeline.

Shares of Merck reached a 52-week high of $160 on Nov. 24. On Nov. 19,
just one week earlier, the shares had closed at $150.313. Near the close
Tuesday, the shares were at $158.188.

An estimate of analysts surveyed by First Call puts Merck's 1998
earnings at $4.97 a share.
- Melanie Trottman; 201-938-5287

Copyright (c) 1998 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

All Rights Reserved.

- - 03 44 PM EST 12-08-98



To: Anthony Wong who wrote (1072)12/8/1998 5:11:00 PM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1580
 
Merck to Update Outlook for Vioxx at Analysts Meeting Wednesday

Bloomberg News
December 8, 1998, 3:37 p.m. ET

Merck to Update Outlook for Vioxx at Analysts Meeting Wednesday

Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, Dec. 8 (Bloomberg) - Merck &
Co., the world's biggest drugmaker, will give an update on the
outlook for its next potential blockbuster, the experimental
arthritis painkiller Vioxx, at an analysts' meeting tomorrow.

Merck is lagging competitor Monsanto Co. in bringing its
entry in the new class of painkillers to market. Monsanto's drug,
Celebrex, could win FDA approval as within a month.

Merck is expected to discuss tomorrow whether the FDA will
grant a priority review for Vioxx. If it does win accelerated
review, it could be introduced about six months after Monsanto's
Celebrex. If not, it could follow by about a year.

Merck, based in Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, rose 1/8 to
157 7/8 in afternoon trading.

At Wednesday's meeting, Merck also will discuss marketing
plans for its drugs, said John Doorley, a company spokesman.

Merck's top-selling product, the cholesterol reducer Zocor
has been losing share to Warner-Lambert Co.'s similar medicine
Lipitor. Merck last month announced a money-back guarantee for
Zocor, allowing refunds for those who take the drug and fail to
reduce their cholesterol as expected.

Lipitor is marketed by Pfizer Inc. through an agreement with
Warner-Lambert. Pfizer, considered one of the drug industry's
best marketers, also will help Monsanto Co. sell Celebrex, its
rival to Merck's Vioxx.

Merck's Best Chance

Both drugs are expected to easily reach annual sales of $1
billion. Merck's Vioxx is seen as Merck's best chance of keeping
profits rising after it loses patents on some of its best-selling
medicines. By 2001, Merck will lose the patent on four drugs that
had more than $5.3 billion in combined 1997 sales. These include
the high blood pressure medicine Vasotec with $2.5 billion in
sales.

Merck suffered a setback last week to its plan to look to
its own pipeline to offset these patent expirations. Monsanto Co.
told an FDA advisory panel that its Celebrex may be a once-a-day
pill, matching an advantage that Merck had claimed for Vioxx.

Vioxx and Celebrex are both so-called Cox-2 drugs. They
appear to work by targeting an enzyme, cyclooxygenase-2, involved
in pain and swelling. Unlike existing painkillers, a Cox-2
inhibitor doesn't suppress a related enzyme, Cox-1, that helps
protect the stomach from its own acid.

As a result, researchers say, the Cox-2 drugs should offer
the same benefits as existing painkillers with fewer side effects
such as bleeding and ulcers for people who take pain medication
for chronic conditions such as arthritis.

The development of the Cox-2 drugs shows how the search for
new medicines has changed in the past decade or so, said Bennett
Shapiro, who leads Merck's basic drug research. Drugmakers once
screened compounds at random to see if they could become
medicines. Now, they look more closely at targets, such as
enzymes, and try to find a way to block them, he said.

Merck 'Mantra'

Merck moved quickly on the Cox-2 project, Shapiro said. The
research was assigned to its Montreal lab where scientists had
developed another promising Merck drug, the once-a-day asthma
pill Singulair. At times, about 60 to 70 scientists, or two-
thirds of the available researchers, worked on the Cox-2 drug.

Recruiting scientists to work on the project was not
difficult, Shapiro said. ''On projects that are going well,
people smell blood in the water,'' he said.

Several likely drug candidates were passed by as Merck
looked for one that would hit Cox-2 and only Cox-2, Shapiro said.
''You never hit Cox-1,'' he said. ''That's really important.''

The drug the company finally came up with meets what Shapiro
termed ''the classic Merck mantra.''

Merck wants its drugs to be highly specific, meaning they
hit their targets in the body fairly precisely. Side effects
often are the result of drugs interfering with compounds in the
body that are similar to their target. The Merck ''mantra'' also
means making drugs that are taken just once a day and in low
doses.

''Vioxx is that kind of drug,'' Shapiro said.

Research has long indicated a possible link between
painkillers and reduced risk of Alzheimer's disease and colon
cancer. Chronic use of older drugs posed enough of a risk that
long-term studies of such disease prevention were not done. With
the Cox-2 drugs, Merck and Monsanto both are doing this kind of
research.

''Now you can move into an area you could never touch
before,'' Shapiro said.

Merck used last year's meeting to unveil early research on a
new depression drug that may work without some of the side
effects of available medicines such as SmithKline Beecham Plc's
Paxil. Antidepressants are some of the world's best-selling
drugs. Eli Lilly & Co.'s Prozac has annual sales of more than $2
billion and Paxil and Pfizer Inc.'s Zoloft each top $1 billion.

--Kerry Dooley in Boston through the Washington newsroom (609)