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To: pz who wrote (17656)12/5/1998 1:18:00 AM
From: Larry S.  Respond to of 53068
 
Oils, CPQ: -
Paul, I have thrown in the towel on oil and oil services, holding HAL and GLM, but sold my mutual funds in that sector. The fundamentals on the sector are just dismal. ( I did buy some OXY on spec that it would be next after XON/MOB), but looking for exit there. Sorry that things are so rough in that sector for you and your cohorts.
CPQ - 207.95.154.130 very powerful chart, IMO. After spending more than a year in the 23-39 trading range, the stock is challenging its all time record of October 97, this 37-40 range is critical for the stock, and looks like it will be taken out. I view the last 14 months as a major basing period. I added to long time position in CPQ today at 38 1/2 ( I love buying at highs !!) in anticipation of a move to mid to high 40s very quickly. If the institutions get behind this stock again, look out. Michael Dell can dismiss CPQ's going direct, but it is a very powerful force. Plus, CPQ has the best mass marketing name and prices. the big mac of computers. Larry



To: pz who wrote (17656)12/5/1998 1:27:00 AM
From: Larry S.  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 53068
 
Chat: Real Stocks ( or metamorphosis # 34): -
AFter playing the net stocks for the past few weeks, mainly very sucessfully, I am coming back to my old investor roots/insticts of just buying good stocks and, gasp, holding them. Got burnt by ONSL and CYCH some. Am scratching my head figuring why i am F**king around the trash when LU, INTC, MSFT, GE, BMY, CSCO, JNJ, USW etc are FLYING !!!!!!



To: pz who wrote (17656)12/5/1998 8:38:00 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53068
 
Paul, thanks

I ran my weekend charts and was taking a close look at this sector for what seems to be the 100th time

most are at triple bottoms or new multi year lows
with the gloom and doom and the last of the year end tax selling coming up I was beginning to think about some buys for a hold of some duration

are many of them at the point were they will no longer be profitable?
will some cease to exist?
am I kidding myself to be looking at any of them?

from a chart perspective they are tempting

examples:

GLM
hit a bottom in Aug
sat for 3 days
went up 50% 3 days later
hit bottom again Oct
sat 2 days
up 50% 2 weeks later
back to the same price bottom now

FLC
bottoms in Aug and Oct
50% gains from both

HMAR
50% gain from the Oct low

similar charts on:
FEN
KCS
omni
pde
pkd
pten
rig
sdc
uti

also
KEG
NSS
VTS

new one, WFT

what is the downside on these from here?
if the gains before were say 30-60% is it unreasonable to think that 20%++ is not possible this time?

is the upside not greater than the down if I were to buy a basket of them and use VERY tight sell stops?

I am very tempted; do I cover my buy button or not?