To: SOROS who wrote (13361 ) 12/7/1998 8:34:00 AM From: bob Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13949
Please visit our sponsors! DJIA 9016.14 0.00 NASDAQ 2003.16 0.00 S&P 500 1176.74 0.00 30 Yr Bond 5.015 -0.02 FreeRealTime.com presents Today's Stock Pick, by Harry Aloof Setup your personalized stock list. News December 7, 08:22 Eastern Time EL SEGUNDO, CALIF. (Dec. 7) BUSINESS WIRE -Dec. 7, 1998-- The Y2K Bug is Just the Beginning, Says President of Galorath Incorporated The billions of dollars that American businesses have already spent fixing their Year 2000 (Y2K) problems are just the beginning, says Dan Galorath, president of Galorath Incorporated, an industry-leading software and consulting company. Galorath develops and markets parametric modeling software to large organizations including Boeing, TRW, U.S. Air Force and Army, GTE and Booz Allan & Hamilton. What he calls the Year 2000 Aftermath (Y2KA) -- the appearance of newly created defects in software brought about by changes made during Y2K repair -- will cost U.S. companies an additional $98 to $188 billion dollars to fix. This is approximately 31 percent of what they will have already spent on Y2K renovations. "Y2KA problems occur when a seemingly innocuous change to a software program brings about unwanted side effects that result in the creation of new defects," said Galorath. "This is especially common in older applications -- the very ones being renovated to fix the Y2K problem -- because they were written in original languages to run on slower machines with less memory and disk space than state-of-the-art hardware." In quantifying the Y2KA problem for a major American corporation, Galorath engineers used SEER-SEM, their software estimating application, to determine that the company needed to renovate 682 different systems, comprising over 44 million lines of code. Their analysis predicted that after the massive effort of renovating and testing their software, they would still have to contend with over 8000 new defects in their renovated systems. "Unfortunately, Y2KA defects will not be discovered until the systems are in full operation," he said. "Some problems will be immediately obvious, like leap year confusion. But most will be side effects that are unrelated to Y2K issues. Systems that are supposed to run continuously, for example, may stop intermittently. These problems will require debugging and repair while still in production--the most costly maintenance possible." According to the SEER-SEM analysis, about 35 percent of these defects can be detected and repaired within the first year. The more subtle problems will show up during the second and third years of operation. "Our client's software inventory -- the basis for this analysis -- is typical of most multi-billion dollar companies in the U.S. This indicates that the top 500 American corporations will have to deal with over four million new defects caused by Y2K repair work. "But that is just the tip of the iceberg: our analysis does not quantify financial losses caused by the malfunction or failure of mission critical systems." Galorath believes that Y2KA is an important issue that has been overshadowed by its better known predecessor. "Many companies, upon completing the lengthy and costly process of Y2K renovation, will not be prepared for the grim aftermath that awaits them," he said. "Although Y2KA problems are inevitable, if IT managers take preventative steps now -- in the form of comprehensive and repetitive testing and evaluation before the systems are deployed -- they will be able to save their companies considerable time and money." About Galorath Incorporated Galorath Incorporated, headquartered in El Segundo, Calif., is a twenty year-old, industry-leading software and consulting company that develops and markets software based on parametric estimation technology. SEER tools enhance critical management and technical decision making by addressing cost, scheduling, risk and reliability in software and product development and manufacturing optimization. For additional information please telephone Galorath Incorporated at 310-414-3222 or visit their Website at www.galorath.com