To: Senor VS who wrote (2943 ) 12/8/1998 10:51:00 AM From: Greg h2o Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13797
<<OT-Ravi>> This might answer your question about JDEC. Although Q4:98 was a good quarter for JDEC, nonetheless, we had been expecting even greater upside, especially in software license revenues – where software license revenues came in at 47% of total revenues versus our 49% projection. The upside in software license revenues was constrained by weakness in Latin America and Asia-Pacific markets (due to adverse economic conditions) where revenue growth declined by 3% year over year versus 31% year over year growth in Q3:98. Therefore, most of the top line upside came in services revenues. Consequently, operating margins came in lower than expected, thereby limiting the magnitude of EPS upside. JDEC derived 18% of software license revenues from non-AS/400 platforms, which was slightly lower than the 20% metric in Q3:98. Although this trend may worry some investors, we believe the dip is largely a non-issue and 2-4% variances should be expected in the early stages of the OneWorld roll out. Management emphasized that pipeline visibility appeared good over the next six months. This represents a change from the past where the company has historically maintained good pipeline visibility over a nine-month period. This is somewhat explained by the earlier comment that sales cycles were undergoing a contraction. Simply put, even six-month visibility into the pipeline should be viewed as a positive, especially measured against major enterprise software application companies, notably SAP and PeopleSoft. We believe management may have unintentionally spooked some investors with the visibility issue.