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To: Harry Landsiedel who wrote (69626)12/8/1998 12:54:00 PM
From: Tony Viola  Respond to of 186894
 
Harry, we're getting so jaded these days, nobody's put up the Morgan Stanley article yet. I wonder where they got the 8 to 10% <G>

cbs.marketwatch.com

Analysts bullish on chips

By Binti Harvey, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 11:31 AM ET Dec 8, 1998
Tech Report

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Analysts rallied behind
semiconductor shares Tuesday, predicting the current
bull run will outlast the holiday season.

Growing expectations of sustained
strength in the sector have driven the
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up
about 75 percent over the past eight
weeks. Tuesday, Intel Corp. (INTC) hit
an all-time high at 122 5/16.

Morgan Stanley's Mark Edelstone, has
been bullish on the semiconductor
industry since the second quarter, and
he believes the group has entered a
new bull cycle.

"The PC-based semiconductor
companies are enjoying the strongest
uptick in demand, and we believe
revenue for the overall semiconductor
industry will grow 8 percent to 10
percent sequentially in the fourth
quarter," Edelstone said.


Edelstone raised price targets on eight
chipmakers: Intel Corp. (INTC) to
$150 a share from $130; Texas
Instruments Inc. (TXN) to $100 from
$85; Broadcom Corp. (BRCM) to
$120 from $90; Rambus Inc. (RMBS) to $110 from $80;
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX) to $80 from $70; Altera Corp.
(ALTR) to $70 from $60; Lattice Semiconductor Corp.
(LSCC) to $55 from $45 and Microchip Technology
Inc. (MCHP) to $50 from $40.

Scott Nirenberski of Credit Suisse First Boston issued
his own positive comments in the wake of October's
global semiconductor sales report. See Silicon Stocks.

Nirenberski attributed the 3 percent increase
year-to-date in microprocessor sales to strength in the
PC industry. He further noted that while sales fell 22
percent in the historically weak October, the average
decline for the month is 28 percent.

Nirenberski increased his fourth-quarter earnings
projection for Texas Instruments to 55 cents a share
from 52 cents, citing accelerating demand from modem,
disk drive and communications markets.

Not all analysts are confident the industry's strength will
survive past the fourth quarter. Ken Pearlman,
semiconductor analyst for CIBC Oppenheimer, remains
wary of potential negative effects of global economic
weakness and increased production of DRAMs.

"We believe it would be prudent for investors
overweighted in the group to use this opportunity to lock
in some of the recent gains by going to a market
weighting or less," Pearlman advised.



To: Harry Landsiedel who wrote (69626)12/8/1998 3:19:00 PM
From: Paul Engel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Harry - Re: "Also, won't the decision to move up the conversion to .18 micron reduce cap. spending from earlier estimates?"

No.

Intel could REALLY reduce capital expenses by NOT CONVERTING to the 0.18 micron process.

However, converting to the 0.18 micron will require some new stepper/scanners for the 0.18 micron layers, more thin film machines for the added metal and isolation layers, and possibly additional etchers and CMP equipment IF Intel wants to maintain the same number of wafers/month output in the converted fabs.

Paul