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Gold/Mining/Energy : Tenke Mining Corp (TNK) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Gunnar who wrote (308)	12/10/1998 7:07:00 PM
From: Greywolf	Respond to of 486

I think South Africa (SA) is getting the message that the rebels are in some way if not all controlled by "masters" in country ie in (SA). I also doubt that the rebels are apt enough or willing enough to make this a long war. It was probably thought that victory would be rather quick as Kabila was in part left out in the cold by USA and others. Kabilas problem with the US stems back to Richardsons visit to the "new" Congo. Kabila must have gotten way up R's nose... The Zimbabwean resolve and military air supremacy is also putting flies in the rebel ointment. And your thought's on "wait and envelope" are probably right. The rebels don't have a power base and as such don't have the leverage to win a protacted war. As the coalition also don't seem hot on stopping the ciúrrent actions I would strongly support the theory that something is a bout to break... The rebels back? Most likelly! Really what would the anti government forces do once victories? One would venture to guess that with resource prices at vastly higher levels the international medeling would be greater. We now have the OAS summit to look to and if not then well there are a few more windows for peace agreement signing. If there are no signatures by new year I would think the situation is different as would the reasons be.