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Technology Stocks : FSII - The Worst is Over? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John McCarthy who wrote (2335)12/11/1998 11:02:00 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Respond to of 2754
 
Well, this week turned out to be a real downer. No question about
it, the semi-equips got "hammered"! The group average is down 7
percent for the week. Five of the 41 stocks were up, 2 stayed the
same and the remaining 34 went down. The 4 stocks on the bottom
went down 20 percent or more. The SOX-X went down 4 percent for the
week.



12/04/98 12/11/98
CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT
SYMBOL COMPANY PRICE PRICE CHANGE
VECO Veeco Instruments 41.63 48.50 17
WJ Watkins Johnson 18.88 20.38 8
MICN Micrion 10.75 11.31 5
CYMI Cymer 17.13 17.63 3
DPMI Dupont Photomasks 39.25 39.88 2
PHTN Photon Dynamics 4.13 4.13 0
TGAL Tegal 3.44 3.44 0
TER Teradyne 39.56 39.13 -1
WFR MEMC Electronic Materials 9.31 9.19 -1
UTEK Ultratech Stepper 18.25 17.88 -2
PLAB Photronics 23.19 22.50 -3
NANO Nanometrics 8.19 7.94 -3
FSII FSI International 8.94 8.50 -5
AMAT Applied Materials 44.19 41.94 -5
ATMI ATMI Inc 20.50 19.44 -5
KLAC KLA Instruments 43.06 40.56 -6
MASK Align-Rite International 14.50 13.63 -6
COHU Cohu 24.00 22.50 -6
SFLX Smartflex Systems 7.75 7.25 -6
ETEC Etec System 40.38 37.75 -7
LTXX LTX 3.25 3.00 -8
SVGI Silicon Valley Group 12.75 11.69 -8
BRKS Brooks Automation 16.94 15.38 -9
SFAM SpeedFAM 16.13 14.50 -10
IPEC Integrated Process Equipment 11.00 9.88 -10
LRCX Lam Research 20.00 17.81 -11
ASMLF ASM Lithography Holdings 32.00 28.38 -11
EGLS Electroglas 14.75 13.00 -12
CMOS Credence Systems 19.81 17.38 -12
ASYT Asyst Technologies 21.63 18.94 -12
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries 20.19 17.56 -13
CFMT CFM Technologies 8.63 7.50 -13
MTSN Mattson Technology 7.44 6.44 -13
NVLS Novellus Systems 57.94 50.06 -14
HELX Helix Technology 13.13 11.00 -16
SMTL Semitool 7.00 5.81 -17
IMSC Integrated Measurement Systems 10.38 8.38 -19
AFLX Adflex Solutions 9.00 7.19 -20
PRIA Pri Automation 27.13 20.75 -24
GSNX Gasonics 9.50 7.25 -24
ASEC Aseco 2.38 1.66 -30
TOTALS 778.01 727.04 -7
SOX-X Phili Semiconductor Index 344.66 331.68 -4



To: John McCarthy who wrote (2335)12/11/1998 11:24:00 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Respond to of 2754
 
Even though the group was down for the week, the gain over the last
9 weeks looks very good. ASYT and AFLX still dominate the number 1
and 2 slots. All 41 stocks are in positive territory. The low stock
in the group, CFMT, has a gain of 13 percent over the last 9 weeks.



10/09/98 12/11/98
CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT
SYMBOL COMPANY PRICE PRICE CHANGE
ASYT Asyst Technologies 6.19 18.94 206
AFLX Adflex Solutions 2.50 7.19 188
WFR MEMC Electronic Materials 3.50 9.19 163
LTXX LTX 1.28 3.00 134
MTSN Mattson Technology 2.75 6.44 134
TGAL Tegal 1.50 3.44 129
ASEC Aseco 0.75 1.66 121
CYMI Cymer 8.00 17.63 120
TER Teradyne 18.00 39.13 117
NVLS Novellus Systems 23.06 50.06 117
MICN Micrion 5.38 11.31 110
ASMLF ASM Lithography Holdings 13.63 28.38 108
DPMI Dupont Photomasks 19.31 39.88 107
PLAB Photronics 11.00 22.50 105
GSNX Gasonics 3.63 7.25 100
VECO Veeco Instruments 24.75 48.50 96
PRIA Pri Automation 10.63 20.75 95
ETEC Etec System 20.25 37.75 86
FSII FSI International 4.63 8.50 84
LRCX Lam Research 9.91 17.81 80
BRKS Brooks Automation 8.63 15.38 78
AMAT Applied Materials 23.63 41.94 77
PHTN Photon Dynamics 2.38 4.13 74
CMOS Credence Systems 10.06 17.38 73
ATMI ATMI Inc 11.38 19.44 71
SVGI Silicon Valley Group 6.88 11.69 70
NANO Nanometrics 4.81 7.94 65
KLAC KLA Instruments 25.00 40.56 62
IPEC Integrated Process Equipment 6.19 9.88 60
MASK Align-Rite International 8.88 13.63 54
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries 11.56 17.56 52
COHU Cohu 15.38 22.50 46
IMSC Integrated Measurement Systems 5.75 8.38 46
SFAM SpeedFAM 10.13 14.50 43
EGLS Electroglas 9.25 13.00 41
HELX Helix Technology 8.63 11.00 27
WJ Watkins Johnson 16.50 20.38 24
SFLX Smartflex Systems 5.94 7.25 22
UTEK Ultratech Stepper 15.38 17.88 16
SMTL Semitool 5.00 5.81 16
CFMT CFM Technologies 6.63 7.50 13
TOTALS 408.63 727.04 78
SOX-X Phili Semiconductor Index 200.88 331.68 65



To: John McCarthy who wrote (2335)12/13/1998 10:30:00 AM
From: Joe Dancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2754
 
John:

No idea who the mystery customer is. I like VECO also - bought some for my wife several years ago but sold it once it began its moonshot. Sold it only half way up, but it scared me. It has come back to earth, or did, with the big slump.

I need to go back and look at VECO again. Thanks for jogging my memory.

PTIS is a company I have not looked at. Jeez, here are the finanicals:

Price/Earnings 9.06
Price/Sales 0.87
Price/Book 1.29
Debt/Equity 0.10
Market cap $43 million

I like the valuation here, assuming they have a product to sell and are well positioned for the long haul. From the press release I'll be looking at this one closely - float is very small so this one could moonshoot also.

Joe



To: John McCarthy who wrote (2335)12/22/1998 4:26:00 PM
From: Joe Dancy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2754
 
Thanks for your comment John. Here is my finished report on the HDD industry taken from 30-40 articles I found on the topic.

Somehow I thought you had mentioned IVAC in the FSII note and I looked at the financials briefly and liked it - so included a mention of it.

It was PTIS you noted, not IVAC - but everyone in this sector should do well -

members.aol.com

Joe