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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/10/1998 8:45:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Bill, Lot more damage done internally than the indices reflect. We
are back to 10/10/98 on the issues above their 10 & 20 DMA's for most
of these indices. Will take a little longer for the 200 DMA to show
the damage. Really a
severe sell off.

10 20 200 10 20 200
DATE NYSE NYSE NYSE NASD NASD NASD
04/21/98 NA NA 61.2% NA NA 48.9%
06/16/98 NA NA 42.7% NA NA 32.8%
07/17/98 49.7% 54.5% 49.7% 47.1% 44.4% 37.4%
08/31/98 3.6% 4.7% 10.6% 4.2% 4.1% 8.0%
09/23/98 62.8% 58.4% 18.4% 45.7% 41.3% 11.8%
10/08/98 13.4% 15.5% 11.0% 6.6% 7.6% 4.7%
10/20/98 72.4% 58.7% 18.1% 57.4% 40.1% 9.5%
10/28/98 52.6% 65.0% 18.2% 52.5% 55.0% 13.2%
11/05/98 71.4% 76.1% 27.8% 56.7% 63.5% 18.7%
11/06/98 70.9% 75.1% 28.7% 56.7% 64.6% 19.9%
11/09/98 62.8% 71.1% 27.2% 52.0% 61.5% 19.6%
11/10/98 54.7% 67.3% 27.1% 48.8% 59.5% 19.3%
11/11/98 43.2% 60.7% 26.1% 44.0% 56.6% 19.2%
11/12/98 37.3% 57.2% 25.4% 40.7% 54.9% 19.1%
11/13/98 35.2% 56.2% 25.5% 38.2% 52.2% 19.3%
11/16/98 37.5% 54.8% 26.4% 38.5% 51.7% 19.7%
11/17/98 36.6% 52.5% 26.3% 36.1% 49.3% 19.6%
11/18/98 36.1% 51.0% 26.0% 37.2% 48.1% 20.1%
11/19/98 42.7% 52.1% 27.4% 39.2% 47.8% 21.1%
11/20/98 46.8% 52.7% 28.3% 40.5% 47.0% 21.4%
11/23/98 50.6% 54.1% 30.1% 42.0% 46.3% 21.6%
11/24/98 50.3% 52.7% 30.2% 39.5% 43.3% 21.6%
11/25/98 50.2% 50.7% 29.8% 41.4% 44.2% 21.8%
11/27/98 50.9% 50.1% 29.7% 40.1% 40.2% 21.3%
11/30/98 40.3% 42.5% 28.4% 38.4% 40.0% 22.2%
12/01/98 39.1% 42.6% 28.4% 36.5% 39.2% 22.4%
12/02/98 35.6% 39.5% 28.0% 36.1% 38.9% 22.5%
12/03/98 30.3% 35.8% 26.9% 32.5% 35.8% 22.0%
12/04/98 36.1% 40.6% 28.4% 35.8% 38.4% 22.7%
12/07/98 39.2% 42.9% 29.2% 35.4% 38.2% 22.9%
12/08/98 35.6% 40.0% 28.3% 33.8% 36.6% 23.2%
12/09/98 37.0% 41.0% 29.0% 35.3% 37.8% 23.8%
12/10/98 28.9% 33.3% 26.9% 31.0% 34.7% 23.1%

10 20 200 10 20 200
DATE NASD100 NASD100 NASD100 S&P100 S&P100 S&P100
04/21/98 NA NA 71.0% NA NA 86.0%
06/16/98 NA NA 52.0% NA NA 65.0%
07/17/98 NA 72.0% 62.0% NA 67.0% 71.0%
08/31/98 2.0% 2.0% 17.0% 7.0% 7.0% 18.0%
09/23/98 76.0% 72.0% 42.0% 75.0% 71.0% 34.0%
10/08/98 2.0% 3.0% 14.0% 32.0% 30.0% 23.0%
10/20/98 91.0% 71.0% 38.0% 84.0% 79.0% 49.0%
10/28/98 76.0% 86.0% 46.0% 42.0% 71.0% 39.0%
11/05/98 85.0% 88.0% 58.0% 92.0% 93.0% 55.0%
11/06/98 85.0% 90.0% 59.0% 97.0% 91.0% 56.0%
11/09/98 73.0% 87.0% 58.0% 85.0% 88.0% 53.0%
11/10/98 67.0% 85.0% 56.0% 74.0% 80.0% 52.0%
11/11/98 52.0% 75.0% 56.0% 56.0% 72.0% 52.0%
11/12/98 46.0% 76.0% 56.0% 40.0% 70.0% 51.0%
11/13/98 39.0% 76.0% 55.0% 55.0% 79.0% 53.0%
11/16/98 54.0% 75.0% 59.0% 63.0% 81.0% 54.0%
11/17/98 55.0% 71.0% 61.0% 58.0% 80.0% 53.0%
11/18/98 69.0% 75.0% 61.0% 61.0% 78.0% 51.0%
11/19/98 74.0% 75.0% 62.0% 72.0% 75.0% 52.0%
11/20/98 71.0% 71.0% 62.0% 82.0% 82.0% 58.0%
11/23/98 76.0% 78.0% 63.0% 82.0% 86.0% 64.0%
11/24/98 65.0% 68.0% 62.0% 74.0% 80.0% 60.0%
11/25/98 66.0% 73.0% 64.0% 71.0% 78.0% 61.0%
11/27/98 70.0% 71.0% 62.0% 73.0% 79.0% 62.0%
11/30/98 34.0% 50.0% 59.0% 41.0% 56.0% 56.0%
12/01/98 45.0% 57.0% 59.0% 45.0% 54.0% 56.0%
12/02/98 50.0% 61.0% 59.0% 39.0% 56.0% 58.0%
12/03/98 36.0% 53.0% 59.0% 21.0% 40.0% 52.0%
12/04/98 53.0% 63.0% 59.0% 40.0% 52.0% 56.0%
12/07/98 62.0% 70.0% 63.0% 46.0% 58.0% 56.0%
12/08/98 68.0% 67.0% 63.0% 37.0% 53.0% 54.0%
12/09/98 64.0% 66.0% 65.0% 38.0% 47.0% 52.0%
12/10/98 49.0% 57.0% 60.0% 27.0% 33.0% 47.0%

10 20 200 10 20 200
DATE S&P400 S&P400 S&P400 S&P 500 S&P 500 S&P 500
04/21/98 NA NA 77.3% NA NA 82.4%
06/16/98 NA NA 48.8% NA NA 59.8%
07/17/98 NA 59.3% 56.5% 52.2% 58.8% 65.2%
08/31/98 3.8% 5.8% 13.3% 6.2% 8.0% 18.2%
09/23/98 77.8% 75.0% 26.0% 78.8% 75.0% 34.0%
10/08/98 16.3% 18.3% 16.3% 23.8% 23.8% 22.0%
10/20/98 83.5% 72.8% 25.5% 83.6% 75.8% 37.2%
10/28/98 63.0% 76.5% 26.8% 47.6% 70.6% 35.0%
11/05/98 85.5% 87.5% 40.5% 90.0% 91.4% 49.2%
11/06/98 86.8% 89.0% 43.0% 91.2% 90.6% 51.0%
11/09/98 78.5% 87.8% 40.3% 80.6% 86.4% 49.2%
11/10/98 66.0% 84.3% 39.8% 68.0% 81.0% 47.2%
11/11/98 49.0% 76.0% 39.3% 48.4% 70.0% 44.8%
11/12/98 46.0% 70.5% 39.0% 40.6% 69.0% 45.4%
11/13/98 41.0% 70.3% 37.8% 50.6% 75.6% 46.4%
11/16/98 42.0% 65.8% 38.0% 59.2% 78.0% 47.8%
11/17/98 47.5% 67.0% 39.8% 56.6% 74.0% 46.0%
11/18/98 46.0% 66.0% 40.8% 53.4% 72.4% 45.8%
11/19/98 52.0% 65.8% 41.3% 61.2% 72.0% 46.6%
11/20/98 63.3% 63.3% 41.8% 75.6% 75.6% 48.6%
11/23/98 55.5% 62.0% 43.0% 78.6% 82.0% 53.2%
11/24/98 54.5% 59.3% 42.0% 72.8% 79.0% 52.6%
11/25/98 59.3% 60.3% 43.3% 69.8% 74.0% 52.0%
11/27/98 60.5% 61.0% 43.8% 68.6% 72.6% 52.8%
11/30/98 37.8% 44.5% 38.3% 38.8% 49.6% 48.2%
12/01/98 38.8% 43.8% 39.0% 41.8% 54.4% 48.4%
12/02/98 40.8% 44.8% 38.5% 41.0% 52.2% 50.0%
12/03/98 35.8% 41.3% 37.8% 26.4% 41.8% 46.8%
12/04/98 46.0% 48.8% 39.8% 47.0% 54.4% 50.8%
12/07/98 56.8% 57.5% 44.0% 51.0% 60.0% 51.6%
12/08/98 51.3% 52.8% 41.5% 42.8% 53.0% 49.8%
12/09/98 49.8% 51.3% 41.0% 43.4% 50.8% 48.8%
12/10/98 33.3% 40.8% 37.5% 31.0% 36.0% 44.2%

10 20 200 10 20 200
DATE S&P600 S&P600 S&P600 R2000 R2000 R2000
04/21/98 NA NA 72.0% NA NA NA
06/16/98 NA NA 42.2% NA NA NA
07/17/98 48.0% 55.0% 49.0% NA 55.0% NA
08/31/98 2.7% 3.0% 7.7% 2.2% 2.6% 9.4%
09/23/98 68.2% 65.2% 19.5% 66.8% 64.0% 18.6%
10/08/98 8.8% 10.7% 8.5% 6.8% 7.9% 7.0%
10/20/98 85.2% 66.7% 17.0% 78.9% 59.6% 14.7%
10/28/98 74.3% 81.7% 22.2% 67.2% 74.1% 19.4%
11/05/98 77.8% 89.8% 30.8% 72.3% 81.0% 28.2%
11/06/98 77.5% 87.3% 31.8% 71.3% 79.8% 28.6%
11/09/98 69.8% 83.0% 30.7% 65.1% 76.1% 27.8%
11/10/98 69.5% 82.8% 32.5% 58.4% 72.7% 27.3%
11/11/98 54.3% 74.2% 30.0% 49.3% 67.5% 26.1%
11/12/98 48.7% 69.8% 29.0% 42.9% 62.9% 25.8%
11/13/98 35.0% 61.3% 28.5% 34.3% 56.9% 25.0%
11/16/98 37.2% 58.3% 27.2% 35.0% 53.8% 25.0%
11/17/98 34.3% 54.0% 27.2% 31.6% 49.7% 24.6%
11/18/98 36.0% 52.8% 28.2% 35.0% 50.3% 25.5%
11/19/98 51.2% 60.3% 30.2% 40.3% 50.3% 26.8%
11/20/98 59.5% 59.5% 30.2% 49.0% 49.0% 27.0%
11/23/98 58.7% 61.2% 32.0% 47.7% 50.1% 27.7%
11/24/98 59.0% 59.7% 30.8% 47.3% 48.2% 27.5%
11/25/98 58.2% 57.0% 32.8% 51.6% 50.1% 28.3%
11/27/98 61.0% 57.5% 32.3% 52.3% 48.4% 28.2%
11/30/98 55.7% 54.8% 33.5% 48.7% 47.0% 28.9%
12/01/98 56.0% 55.2% 34.0% 49.7% 48.6% 29.5%
12/02/98 49.2% 51.2% 34.8% 46.3% 46.6% 29.4%
12/03/98 39.7% 45.0% 32.5% 40.4% 43.1% 28.8%
12/04/98 49.2% 52.8% 35.0% 45.0% 47.7% 29.5%
12/07/98 49.8% 52.7% 35.7% 47.8% 49.6% 30.6%
12/08/98 45.3% 49.3% 35.2% 43.5% 46.8% 30.2%
12/09/98 45.2% 50.3% 35.2% 43.4% 47.8% 30.8%
12/10/98 35.0% 42.5% 33.2% 36.0% 42.3% 29.4%

Monty




To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/10/1998 8:49:00 PM
From: jjs_ynot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Since this was a liquidity-driven rally with the Fed pumping; equity outflows signal a very ominous outlook for the bulls.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/10/1998 9:03:00 PM
From: Kip518  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 94695
 
OT

Bill, I know you like internut mind games. Give this one a try. It is amazing.

members.tripod.com

Kip



To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/10/1998 9:05:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill, but look at money markets $13 billion inflow and last week another $12 billion. This is a net of around $10 billion each week.

Still there is plenty of money around. The real BK will come wen Money market is below $2 billion and outflow continues. Until then BTD.

BWDIK
Haim



To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/10/1998 11:51:00 PM
From: Greg Jung  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill, I suspect that outflow may be primarily a seasonal shift for
tax/vacation/whatever reasons, anticipated by the fund managers. Sell the mutual fund now prior to declaration of capital gains, avoid a bookkeeping nightmare? type of thing.

The week earlier it was only -.7b, and we didn't have much of significance in the economy news: speculation is still pretty healthy
and the day's volume was slow in the downdraft. OTOH the analysts seem to be pulling out the stops, a new upgrade came in for PG just after the concerns about growth. A good drop in PG would set up well for a "flight to safety" rebound in the CPs.

Greg



To: William H Huebl who wrote (35140)12/11/1998 6:35:00 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bill,

Well, I'm short as of yesterday morning. Let slip the dogs of war!!!!!

GZ


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