To: MARK C. who wrote (26461 ) 12/11/1998 1:30:00 PM From: DavidCG Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 119973
Hi Mark, let me answer your CRII questions as best I can. You are absolutely correct. It IS a niche market right now. That is my entire point! First, let me say that the current unit for $2000 is what they charge hospitals, doctors offices, etc.. I'm assuming they'll drop it a bit for consumers. But IF NOT... wait, no fear... they plan on offering an even smaller, less costly unit in March 1999 (3 mos away) for $1000 per unit (I'll throw in the Ginsu knives and potato peeler) So, we are really looking at a $2k unit for 3 months, and a $1k unit there after. Now, back to your point. I beleive there are 500,000 people out of 100 million world diabetics with the wealth to purchase a,as you call it, a "niche" product like this. Look, if this unit was selling for $100-$300... we would have at least 30-50 million diabetics buying this unit. I am not blind to that fact. I am saying, there are 500K "well off" people out there in this world with this disease who want a better quality of life for them OR their children. Again, do you own a home computer? Yes. How much did you pay for it? $1K? $2K? If YOU have disposible income like that... I believe a small 1/2 of 1% of diabetics do as well. I believe it is much greater like 3-5%...but I like to be conservative. If only 100,000 people buy a $1000 unit that is a $100 million market. And this stock has a market cap of $15mil How many units do they need to sell in order to justify a market cap of $15 mil (where they are now?) 7500 - 10,000 people in a 100 million person diabetic popuation. So no matter HOW LOW you think the number to be... CRII is an absolute steal. And what do you know, CRII up ANOTHER .10 $3.59 -DavidCG