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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sonki who wrote (13132)	12/11/1998 3:41:00 PM
From: ToySoldier	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 74651

Hey folks, I sorry if you missed me but it has been a crazy week. Looks like the board has really quietened down with me not paying attention to it. Really hasnt been much to talk about - boring. Anyways, just wanted to say hi and say "Seasons Greetings" Toy

To: Sonki who wrote (13132)	12/11/1998 3:46:00 PM
From: johnd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Sonki, Your estimate of 160 - 180 looks like a reasonable band for year end 99 close. During 1999, there is a fire chance of touching 110 and 210, either extremes have reasonable likelihood to happen. I wonder if we could see a strong correction prior to 99th day of 99, 4/9/99 or on 9/9/99 due y2k class worries. I thin by Jan 2001 (for 01 leap holders) there is good chance of seeing 240 - 270 by then. So the 170 leap of 01 with about 18 premium is not too bad. But then you have to kepe in mind that even if MSFT had $4.00 reported EPS by then, if PE dropped to 43 by 2001 Jan, you will loose 100% of your money. johnd johnd

To: Sonki who wrote (13132)	12/12/1998 1:47:00 AM
From: ed	Respond to of 74651

Sonki, The calculation is good, but you can never expect it to be accurate. History is the best indicator. Just look at MSFT price in Jan of this year, and what is it now ? almost double. Look at the price of 1995, and see what it is at the end of 1996 ? Then you know what I am talking about. Do not forget , next year will be 2000 year, i. office 2000, window2000, both generate great revenues. Microsoft grow fast since 1995 due to Win95, and that is a good indicator for the future stock price if history told the story and repeat itself !!!!