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Strategies & Market Trends : Anyone following Capstead (CMO)?? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MCsweet who wrote (156)12/12/1998 1:18:00 PM
From: jmt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 216
 
Please demonstrate what that cash value (less liabilities) is after the aquisition. And what the credit quality and prepayment risks are with the piece of the portfolio that is left. One would thing GMAC took the cream and left the problems credit behind.

This is a complicated issue to analyze accurately. But I still don't see the net cash at $9 per share as has been mentioned. And there are reserves held to indemnify GMAC. For how long??

jmt



To: MCsweet who wrote (156)12/12/1998 2:08:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 216
 
MC; I'm more a strategist than an analcyst , I like cash value
more than book value, or earnings, and I have never lost on buying cash at a discount.
Monkey business abounds in the stock market, & there is no telling
what management might do with this kind of cash.
Hell if it were me at the helm, I'd try to get unlimited
buy back approval , with that I've seen some stocks drop
their float so low as to go through the roof.
----------------
With a big buy back they could make the lawyers that want to
hammer her look like fools, however at this time
she only has authorization for a million shares.
----------------
I don't think this management is of that type, or that it will
happen, but I have seen it by others in the past.
Where certain companies dried up their float, and pushed
up the stock price to unbelievable levels..
They then used the stock price as collateral to borrow cash
at cheap interest rates.
I've really seen some dillies.
I really don't think CMO will go that route, but don't rule it out
as if they were to do it; forget reality, she could go to over
$100, shorts would pile on and get slaughtered as she dried
up the float. She is in a good position to play hard ball
if she has the know how and the guts.
Jim