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To: risk-averse who wrote (33815)12/12/1998 5:16:00 PM
From: MARK C.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50264
 
Shorts and the use of Message Boards :Credit for post to skidiver3

Do you even know how "shorts" work ? They bet that a stock will go down,just like you bet a stock will go up.Now a year ago when I asked broker friends of mine if the internet message boards will have any affect on a stock.They ALL laughed at me and said those idiots having an affect on a stock !

Well I asked those same friends this last week-and the answer from all YES! message boards and "shorts"(some) can manipulate with lies,bullshit,and deceit.Let me tell you what I have seen on two different boards .

One stock was $8 and a "pack" of shorts come on and posted total lies about SEC violations,and "class action lawsuits".There was 15-20 of these manipulating "shorts".The stock went from $8 to $6 overnight without cause -just these manipulating "packs" posting total lies and BS.

Another board I had seen about 15 months ago had a bunch of "regulars" on the board.Problem was these "regulars" were the nicest bunch of mostly elderly people you would want to know and talk with.The stock was about $18 and then came "the pack" of shorts.There were again 15-20 of them.They got the elderly so scared that they would not fight and just stopped posting.Thus leaving the board totally to these manipulating "shorts".

The stock went from $18 to $10 without reason just lies posted by these liars.Do you understand a little now? Let me say this to you and i want you and the whole board to think about this statement.

IT IS EASIER TO SCARE PEOPLE INTO SELLING THAN IT IS TO SCARE PEOPLE INTO BUYING A STOCK.

Now think about that,you have elderly that invest and find their way to the message boards only to see false posts about "SEC Violations" and "Class action suits" or you have a Yuppie with a kid to put in college going to these message boards only to see posts by 15-20 (probably 5 or 6 under alias)"pack of shorts" posting the same false stuff about SEC Violations or lawsuits or "there's bad news coming out" ....what do you think they will do ?

Let me ask you people who don't like my attacking back ways,language etc... Do you think for that elderly person and that Yuppie with the college kid -that it would be easier to take the money out of the stock with these rumors and put the money back into the bank? Another question :do you think it is easier to take money out of the bank and invest it into stock....or easier to take the money out of the stock and put it back into a safe bank ?

It's easier to sell the stock and put the money into the bank for nervous people like the elderly and the Yuppie who needs college funds.

THAT'S WHO THE PACK OF SHORTS PRAY ON AND DEPEND ON.

They bet on a stock to go down-not up! .Understand ? And they have just as much money and risk as you.But they have the edge of fear ,lies,falsehoods to post and pray on the nervous.Longs don't have that.That's why the rumors that started last night(not from me) was a beautiful way to fight these manipulating "shorts".All is fair if they are going to start with the lies and "bad news is coming BS "

I would rather have new people to the board be "confused" when these pack of shorts are trying to manipulate stock,than "play nice" and have their lies influence.So you and a few others might not like my methods,language,spelling etc.....but I don't give a crap...it's my life savings NOT yours.Sometimes i don't have the time to find the links to attack these "pack of shorts" with facts.Even "the Hat" got upset last night and I've never seen him get upset.By the way "Hat" i thought at first you were a kid with charts-now I know your man and an expert in your field ,a real craftsman in my book ! Anyway I've seen what these "pack of manipulators" can do.With the great "regulars" on this board-we can see all these new names coming and some posting BS and lies to try to manipulate.Not on this board sucker. :)



To: risk-averse who wrote (33815)12/12/1998 5:18:00 PM
From: MARK C.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50264
 
Market Maker Speaks Out - Ways of a MM (Market Maker)

I was a OTC MM for about 10 years ending in the late 80's. Since then I have been strictly an investor. Since I have not been that up to date in MM rules I will only make statements that I feel fairly confident are still accurate regarding these activities. By and large most MM don't have a clue nor do they care to learn, about the fundamentals of the stocks they trade.

They just try to make orderly markets. When dealing with BB stocks it is very easy for a MM to get trapped into being short in dealing in a fast moving market. Reason being; most of the MM's in this stock are what are called "wholesalers" this means they don't have retail brokers "working" the stocks.

So they have to rely on whats know as the "call" from larger retail houses. If a "Big" retail firm like an E-trade calls up a market maker to purchase say 5,000 shares of a stock, they expect to get an "execution" from that market maker. If he turns them down, or only gives a partial then the "Big" firm will go to another MM.

If this second MM "fills the order" then that "Big" firm has a moral obligation to continue to give future "business" in that stock to tha MM who preformed (his life blood). This will go on until he "fails" to perform and so on.

Contrary to popular opinion the "Big" firms Do NOT neccessarly go to the "Low Offer" to fill a buy order (Or high bid for a sell). The "Go" to who they think will perform to fill the order and expect that MM to "match" the "low offer" in the case of a buy (bid in the case of a sell). Even though this MM might in fact be the "high bid" and not really want to sell any more.

As a wholsaler he must perform or he will get a reputation as a "non-performer" with the "Big" houses and will cease getting "calls" which means he will soon go out of business. I mentioned above that this activity is very significant to BB stocks. I say this because most of the trades in these BB stocks are "unsolicited" and are done through discount houses, ergo "Big" firms.

With the above groundwork layed, let me try to explain how market makers get short even if they like the Company; Lets say that a stock (shell) has been lying quitely at $.25 bid $.50 offered. A limit order comes into one of the MM's to Buy at $.50 for a thousand shares. Prior to this trade that MM may be "flat" (neither long or short any shares). He fill the order and is now short 1,000 shares. He may raise his bid hoping to find a seller to "flatten" out his position. But before he realizes it a wave of buyers have come in and cleared out all the $.50 offers. Now the stock is $.50 bid .75 offered. Here comes that "Big" firm he just sold the 1,000 shares to at .50 with another bid for 1000 at .75. He makes this print. Now he is short 2,000 at an average of .625. The market keeps moving and now its .75 bid 1.00 offered. Now he has to make a decision.

Just like investors, MM Hate to take a loss. So 9 times out of 10 he will now sell 2000 at 1.00 making him short 4000 but with an average .81. At this time he would love to see a seller at .75 so he can cover his short and make a few bucks.

But instead the market keeps moving up. Now it is 1.00 to 1.25 and here comes the buyer again at 1.25. He doesn't want to loose the call so now he needs to sell 4,000 at 1.25 to keep his break even point above the bid. Now he is short 8,000. Market moves up to 1.25 bid 1.50 offer here comes the buyer now he feels he must sell 8000 here because "stocks don't go up forever".

Now he is short 16,000. And so on and so on. If the stock keeps moving up, before he realizes it he could be short 50k or 100k shares (depending how big his bank is). _________________________

Finally the market closes for the day and on paper he may look allright in that his "break even" price may be around the closing price. But now he has to figure out how to entice sellers so he can cover this short. It is important to note that if this happened to one MM it has probably happened to most all of them.

Some ways MM's entice sellers; Run the stock up with a "tight spead" in a fast market, then "open" up the spread to slow down the buying interest. After it has "cooled off" for a little while lower the offer below th last trade right after a small piece trades on the offer then tighten the spread so that the sellers feel they can take a "quick profit" by "hitting the bid" on the tight spread.

Once the selling starts the MM's will walk it down quickly by only making small prints on the way down with the tight spread. Another way is by running the stock up in the morning, averaging up their short then use the above technique to walk it down in the afternoon.

Hopefully after doing this for several days, it will demoralize the buyers. The volume will dry up and the sellers will materialize thinking that the game is over.

Contrary to popular opinion, MM usually Do Not Cover in Fast moving markets either Up or Down if they are short. They Short More. They usually try to cover after the frenzy is out of the market. There are many other techniques they use but the above are the most popular.

This technique works about 9 times out of 10 particulary in a BB market. However that is because 9 out of 10 BB stocks are BS. Remember what I said above. Most MM's don't have a clue as to the value of a Company until they get trapped. If the Company has solid fundementals and a bright future. Then the stock will do very well. And the activity that caused the situation will prove to even help the future stock activity because it created an audience." _____________________________________

Credit for this post goes to Cardshark_1999



To: risk-averse who wrote (33815)12/12/1998 6:11:00 PM
From: William Brotherson  Respond to of 50264
 
Risk,

And lets not forget the outright manipulation of those releases with his cut&paste tactics to make them say what he wanted them to say. Sure was lucky someone checked and caught him at it..........

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!!!!!!

wb