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To: Curbstone who wrote (9638)12/14/1998 9:51:00 PM
From: Derek Wildstar  Respond to of 16960
 
The Boardmaker's Dilemma

A paradox. You and your partner are arrested for a crime. The police immediately separate you and offer you each the same deal -- confess and you'll go free (provided your partner doesn't do the same). You must decide without consulting your partner, and knowing your partner is offered the same deal. What do you do?

The best result is when you confess and your partner doesn't. The worst outcome is to be the one who doesn't confess. If both confess, it's nearly as bad. If neither confesses, then both stick together and hope the evidence is insufficent for a conviction. It's a conflict between the good of the individual and the good of all. Neither should confess, because that's best for the pair, but assuming the other won't confess each is tempted to better his own situation.

If either Creative or Diamond buy nVidia, they will likely erase the other's presence from the graphics market. Tempting indeed.

"Those two are getting together out of necessity rather than by choice," said Ken Wirt, vice president of corporate communications for Diamond. "STB is in trouble. In the gaming segment, Nvidia and 3Dfx have been neck and neck, and we feel Nvidia is ahead now."

Creative's graphics product manager, Jim Carlton, agreed. "Between those drawbacks; I was struggling with how to integrate the Voodoo3 into our product roadmap," he said. "Now I don't have to worry about that."

It will undoubtedly be too tempting for Carlton or Wirt to "turn the other in," decades old game-theory suggests it.

Criticism from their quarters is likely sour grapes at being left with a true dilemma.

This will be interesting to watch...